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[SENTIERI项目:讨论与结论]

[SENTIERI Project: discussion and conclusions].

作者信息

Pirastu Roberta, Ricci Paolo, Comba Pietro, Bianchi Fabrizio, Biggeri Annibale, Conti Susanna, Fazzo Lucia, Forastiere Francesco, Iavarone Ivano, Martuzzi Marco, Musmeci Loredana, Pasetto Roberto, Zona Amerigo, Crocetti Emanuele

机构信息

Dipartimento di biologia e biotecnologie Charles Darwin, Sapienza Università di Roma.

出版信息

Epidemiol Prev. 2014 Mar-Apr;38(2 Suppl 1):125-33.

Abstract

The SENTIERI Project represents the first comprehensive analysis of the health impact of residence in National Priority Contaminated Sites (NPCSs). For the first time, it considers three distinct health outcomes: mortality (2003-2010), cancer incidence (1996- 2005) and hospital discharges (2005-2010). The Report includes a commentary explaining methodology and approach, as well as remarks on the causal association between environmental exposures and investigated health outcomes based on the a priori assessments of the epidemiological evidence; the main implications for public health and scientific research priorities are also presented. The approach put forward by SENTIERI was among those sanctioned by the World Health Organization to conduct an initial description of the health status of residents of contaminated sites. Results relating to individual diseases that can be traced back to a single agent, such as asbestiform fibres, can be easily analysed. The Biancavilla NPCS (where the fluoro-edenite asbestiform fibre was found) displays excesses of pleural mesothelioma and its proxy, malignant pleural tumours, as does Priolo, where asbestos coexists with other pollutants. Increased risk was also recorded in NPCSs adjacent to the coast hosting harbour areas (such as Trieste, Taranto and Venice) or comprising industrial areas specialising in the production of chemicals (Laguna di Grado e Marano, Priolo and Venezia) and steel (Taranto, Terni, Trieste). Increases of pathologies, such as cancer and respiratory diseases, connected to more than one agent, in industrial sites with multiple and diverse sources of exposures, prove harder to interpret. There are also more complex cases in which results do not appear consistent in the three databases or by gender (such as lung cancer in Venice, where mortality and hospital discharges have only increased among women). In order to adequately examine these we must consider factors such as the appropriateness of the health outcome showing the increase, considering latency and the length of the observation period. Of further interest are results relating to diseases of the urinary tract such as kidney failure in the NPCSs of Basso bacino del fiume Chienti, Taranto, Milazzo and Priolo. Overall, the results discussed above are consistent with the previous findings pertaining to mortality for 1995-2002. The present analysis also introduces a new element - the study of cancer incidence and hospital discharges - which can tell us a great deal about diseases with high survival rates or non lethal ones. The first is the case of thyroid cancer, which presents increases in both databases and for both genders in a number of NPCSs (Brescia-Caffaro, Laghi di Mantova, Milazzo, Sassuolo- Scandiano and Taranto). The study of cancer incidence and hospital discharges also revealed cancer excesses for melanoma, breast cancer and non Hodgkin lymphoma in Brescia-Caffaro NPCS where PCBs (Polychlorinated biphenyl) are the site's main pollutant. PCBs, according to the 2013 evaluation of the International Agency for Research on Cancer, are ascertained human carcinogens for melanoma and probable carcinogens for breast cancer and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. The results pertaining to cancer incidence in the 17 NPCSs can also be presented using rankings by area or disease analyzed by a multivariate hierarchical Bayesian model. These rankings reveal an overlapping of credibility intervals, such that it is not possible to speak of a limited number of cancer sites or of certain NPCSs as being particularly affected. Every NPCS, therefore, must be considered individually and ordering them by ranking of cancer incidence wouldn't be appropriate. Data collected concerning some of the NPCSs in the context of the SENTIERI Project is so conclusive that remediation measures can immediately be put in place. This is the case in the Biancavilla and Brescia-Caffaro NPCSs. A similar conclusion can be drawn for complex locations such as Taranto, where, based on the results of SENTIERI Projects and the whole available information, we can safely conclude that exposure to environmental agents played an important role, allowing us to set in place 'Integrated evaluation of environmental and health impact procedures'. SENTIERI approach does not allow definitive causal assessments. However, as stated above, these results do provide a topic for further study without getting in the way of initiatives promoting urgent environmental remediation.

摘要

SENTIERI项目是对居住在国家重点污染场地(NPCS)对健康影响的首次全面分析。它首次考虑了三种不同的健康结果:死亡率(2003 - 2010年)、癌症发病率(1996 - 2005年)和医院出院情况(2005 - 2010年)。该报告包括一篇解释方法和途径的评论,以及基于对流行病学证据的先验评估对环境暴露与所调查健康结果之间因果关联的评论;还提出了对公共卫生和科研重点的主要影响。SENTIERI提出的方法是世界卫生组织认可的用于初步描述污染场地居民健康状况的方法之一。可追溯到单一因素(如石棉状纤维)的个别疾病的结果易于分析。比安卡维拉国家重点污染场地(发现了氟伊登石石棉状纤维)以及普廖洛(石棉与其他污染物共存)的胸膜间皮瘤及其替代指标恶性胸膜肿瘤均出现超额情况。在沿海有港口区域的国家重点污染场地(如的里雅斯特、塔兰托和威尼斯)或包括专门从事化学品生产(格拉多和马拉诺泻湖、普廖洛和威尼斯)及钢铁生产(塔兰托、特尔尼、的里雅斯特)的工业区的国家重点污染场地也记录到风险增加。在具有多种不同暴露源的工业场地中,与多种因素相关的疾病(如癌症和呼吸系统疾病)的增加情况更难解释。还有更复杂的情况,即三个数据库或按性别来看结果不一致(如威尼斯的肺癌,死亡率和医院出院情况仅在女性中增加)。为了充分研究这些情况,我们必须考虑诸如显示增加的健康结果的适当性、潜伏期和观察期长度等因素。巴斯托·巴奇诺·德尔·基恩蒂河、塔兰托、米拉佐和普廖洛的国家重点污染场地中与泌尿系统疾病(如肾衰竭)相关的结果也更受关注。总体而言,上述结果与1995 - 2002年死亡率的先前研究结果一致。本分析还引入了一个新元素——癌症发病率和医院出院情况研究——这可以让我们对高生存率或非致命性疾病有很多了解。首先是甲状腺癌的情况,在一些国家重点污染场地(布雷西亚 - 卡法罗、曼托瓦湖、米拉佐、萨索洛 - 斯坎迪亚诺和塔兰托)的两个数据库中以及男女两性中都出现了增加。癌症发病率和医院出院情况研究还揭示,在以多氯联苯(PCBs)为主要污染物的布雷西亚 - 卡法罗国家重点污染场地中,黑色素瘤、乳腺癌和非霍奇金淋巴瘤的癌症超额情况。根据国际癌症研究机构2013年的评估,多氯联苯被确定为黑色素瘤的人类致癌物,以及乳腺癌和非霍奇金淋巴瘤的可能致癌物。17个国家重点污染场地的癌症发病率结果也可以使用多变量分层贝叶斯模型按区域或疾病进行排名呈现。这些排名显示可信区间重叠,因此不可能说有少数癌症高发场地或某些国家重点污染场地受到特别影响。因此,每个国家重点污染场地都必须单独考虑,按癌症发病率排名对它们进行排序是不合适的。在SENTIERI项目背景下收集的有关一些国家重点污染场地的数据非常确凿,以至于可以立即采取补救措施。比安卡维拉和布雷西亚 - 卡法罗国家重点污染场地就是这种情况。对于像塔兰托这样的复杂地点也可以得出类似结论,根据SENTIERI项目的结果和所有可用信息,我们可以有把握地得出结论,接触环境因素起到了重要作用,这使我们能够制定“环境与健康影响综合评估程序”。SENTIERI方法不允许进行确定性的因果评估。然而,如上所述,这些结果确实为进一步研究提供了一个课题,同时不妨碍促进紧急环境修复的举措。

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