世界卫生组织儿童艾滋病临床病例定义的评估与简化

Evaluation and simplification of the World Health Organization clinical case definition for paediatric AIDS.

作者信息

Lepage P, van de Perre P, Dabis F, Commenges D, Orbinski J, Hitimana D G, Bazubagira A, van Goethem C, Allen S, Butzler J P

机构信息

Department of Paediatrics, Centre Hospitalier de Kigali, Rwanda.

出版信息

AIDS. 1989 Apr;3(4):221-5. doi: 10.1097/00002030-198904000-00005.

Abstract

The World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definition for paediatric AIDS was tested during a 1-month period on 221 consecutive hospitalized children in Kigali, Rwanda. Relevant clinical features not included in the WHO case definition were also evaluated. Thirty-four out of the 221 children (15.4%) were HIV seropositive. Although the specificity of the WHO case definition was high (92%), the sensitivity and the positive predictive value (PPV) were low (41 and 48%, respectively). The following individual signs had a PPV at least equal to the complete WHO case definition: chronic diarrhoea (47%), respiratory distress secondary to lower respiratory tract infection (50%), oral candidiasis (53%), parotitis (67%), generalized lymphadenopathy (88%), and herpes zoster infection (100%). When logistic regression analysis was done on the nine variables included in the WHO case definition, confirmed maternal infection was the best predictive variable for HIV seropositivity in children (P less than 10(-5). We further excluded the serological status of the mother from the analysis and performed a stepwise logistic regression analysis on the 18 clinical signs and symptoms for which information had been collected. Those signs and symptoms contributing the most to the regression were: respiratory distress, chronic diarrhoea and generalized lymphadenopathy. Based on these findings, we propose a simplified clinical case definition for paediatric AIDS in Africa with better sensitivity, specificity and PPV than the WHO case definition. Further work is needed using this approach to develop case definitions useful for epidemiological surveillance and for case management.

摘要

世界卫生组织(WHO)针对儿童艾滋病的临床病例定义在卢旺达基加利连续1个月内对221名住院儿童进行了测试。还评估了WHO病例定义中未包含的相关临床特征。221名儿童中有34名(15.4%)HIV血清学检测呈阳性。尽管WHO病例定义的特异性较高(92%),但其敏感性和阳性预测值(PPV)较低(分别为41%和48%)。以下个体体征的PPV至少与完整的WHO病例定义相当:慢性腹泻(47%)、下呼吸道感染继发的呼吸窘迫(50%)、口腔念珠菌病(53%)、腮腺炎(67%)、全身淋巴结肿大(88%)和带状疱疹感染(100%)。对WHO病例定义中包含的九个变量进行逻辑回归分析时,确诊的母亲感染是儿童HIV血清学阳性的最佳预测变量(P小于10⁻⁵)。我们进一步在分析中排除了母亲的血清学状态,并对收集了信息的18种临床体征和症状进行逐步逻辑回归分析。对回归贡献最大的体征和症状为:呼吸窘迫、慢性腹泻和全身淋巴结肿大。基于这些发现,我们提出了一种针对非洲儿童艾滋病的简化临床病例定义,其敏感性、特异性和PPV均优于WHO病例定义。需要进一步采用这种方法来制定对流行病学监测和病例管理有用的病例定义。

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