Department of Methodology and Evaluation Research, Friedrich Schiller University Jena, 07743 Jena, Germany; email:
Annu Rev Clin Psychol. 2015;11:71-98. doi: 10.1146/annurev-clinpsy-032813-153719. Epub 2014 Jul 9.
We present a revision of latent state-trait (LST-R) theory with new definitions of states and traits. This theory applies whenever we study the consistency of behavior, its variability, and its change over time. States and traits are defined in terms of probability theory. This allows for a seamless transition from theory to statistical modeling of empirical data. LST-R theory not only gives insights into the nature of latent variables but it also takes into account four fundamental facts: Observations are fallible, they never happen in a situational vacuum, they are always made using a specific method of observations, and there is no person without a past. Although the first fact necessitates considering measurement error, the second fact requires allowances for situational fluctuations. The third fact implies that, in the first place, states and traits are method specific. Furthermore, compared to the previous version of LST theory (see, e.g., Steyer et al. 1992 , 1999 ), our revision is based on the notion of a person-at-time-t. The new definitions in LST-R theory have far-reaching implications that not only concern the properties of states, traits, and the associated concepts of measurement errors and state residuals, but also are related to the analysis of states and traits in longitudinal observational and intervention studies.
我们提出了潜在状态-特质(LST-R)理论的修订版,对状态和特质给出了新的定义。只要我们研究行为的一致性、其可变性以及随时间的变化,就可以应用这种理论。状态和特质是根据概率论来定义的。这允许从理论无缝过渡到经验数据的统计建模。LST-R 理论不仅深入了解潜在变量的本质,而且还考虑到四个基本事实:观察是有缺陷的,它们不会在情境真空发生,它们总是使用特定的观察方法进行,并且没有人没有过去。尽管第一个事实需要考虑测量误差,但第二个事实要求允许情境波动。第三个事实意味着,首先,状态和特质是特定于方法的。此外,与之前的 LST 理论版本(例如,Steyer 等人,1992 年,1999 年)相比,我们的修订版基于“特定时间点的人”的概念。LST-R 理论中的新定义具有深远的影响,不仅涉及状态、特质以及相关的测量误差和状态残差概念的性质,而且还与纵向观察和干预研究中的状态和特质分析有关。