Trivedi Hariprasad, Yang Juliana, Szabo Aniko
Divison of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, 9200 W. Wisconsin Ave., CLCC 5220, Milwaukee, WI, 53226, USA,
J Nephrol. 2015 Apr;28(2):235-43. doi: 10.1007/s40620-014-0132-6. Epub 2014 Sep 4.
The epidemiology of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has not been adequately characterized. Using United States Renal Data System data we investigated the epidemiology of GIB in hospitalized patients receiving long-term dialysis.
Medicare ESRD patients who began dialysis between 1996 and 2005 were followed from 90 days after starting dialysis to death, transplant, loss of Medicare, or December 31, 2006. GIB events were identified using claims data. Predictors of GIB incidence were analyzed using over-dispersed Poisson regression and Cox regression was used to evaluate the effect on survival. Repeat episodes were modeled using a partially conditional Cox regression model.
406,836 patients were followed for 832,131 person-years, during which 133,967 events were identified. The incidence of GIB was stable through year 2000 but steadily increased thereafter. Chronic gastric ulcer and colonic diverticulosis were the commonest defined causes of upper and lower GIB respectively. Age >49 years, female gender, hypertension as the cause of ESRD, and initiation on hemodialysis was associated with a greater risk of GIB. An episode of GIB conferred a increased hazard of death (hazard ratio 1.9, 95% CI 1.86-1.93). A previous episode of GIB was associated with greater hazard of another episode (hazard ratio 3.93, 95% CI 3.82-4.05).
In ESRD patients incident to long-term dialysis the incidence of hospital-associated GIB is increasing, is associated with a greater hazard of death, and carries a great hazard of repeat episodes.
终末期肾病(ESRD)患者胃肠道出血(GIB)的流行病学特征尚未得到充分描述。我们利用美国肾脏数据系统的数据,对接受长期透析的住院患者GIB的流行病学情况进行了调查。
对1996年至2005年间开始透析的医疗保险ESRD患者,从开始透析90天后随访至死亡、移植、失去医疗保险或2006年12月31日。利用索赔数据确定GIB事件。使用过度分散的泊松回归分析GIB发病率的预测因素,并使用Cox回归评估对生存的影响。使用部分条件Cox回归模型对复发事件进行建模。
406,836名患者随访了832,131人年,在此期间确定了133,967起事件。GIB的发病率在2000年之前保持稳定,但此后稳步上升。慢性胃溃疡和结肠憩室病分别是上消化道和下消化道GIB最常见的明确病因。年龄>49岁、女性、ESRD病因是高血压以及开始血液透析与GIB风险增加相关。一次GIB发作会增加死亡风险(风险比1.9,95%可信区间1.86-1.93)。既往有GIB发作与再次发作的风险增加相关(风险比3.93,95%可信区间3.82-4.05)。
在接受长期透析的ESRD患者中,医院相关GIB的发病率正在上升,与更高的死亡风险相关,且复发风险很大。