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细胞周期阻滞生物标志物临床应用临界值的推导与验证

Derivation and validation of cutoffs for clinical use of cell cycle arrest biomarkers.

作者信息

Hoste Eric A J, McCullough Peter A, Kashani Kianoush, Chawla Lakhmir S, Joannidis Michael, Shaw Andrew D, Feldkamp Thorsten, Uettwiller-Geiger Denise L, McCarthy Paul, Shi Jing, Walker Michael G, Kellum John A

机构信息

Intensive Care Unit, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent University, and Research Foundation-Flanders (FWO), Belgium.

Baylor University Medical Center, Baylor Heart and Vascular Institute, Baylor Jack and Jane Hamilton Heart and Vascular Hospital, Dallas, TX The Heart Hospital, Plano, TX.

出版信息

Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2014 Nov;29(11):2054-61. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfu292. Epub 2014 Sep 18.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) remains a deadly condition. Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP)-2 and insulin-like growth factor binding protein (IGFBP)7 are two recently discovered urinary biomarkers for AKI. We now report on the development, and diagnostic accuracy of two clinical cutoffs for a test using these markers.

METHODS

We derived cutoffs based on sensitivity and specificity for prediction of Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Stages 2-3 AKI within 12 h using data from a previously published multicenter cohort (Sapphire). Next, we verified these cutoffs in a new study (Opal) enrolling 154 critically ill adults from six sites in the USA.

RESULTS

One hundred subjects (14%) in Sapphire and 27 (18%) in Opal met the primary end point. The results of the Opal study replicated those of Sapphire. Relative risk (95% CI) in both studies for subjects testing at ≤0.3 versus >0.3-2 were 4.7 (1.5-16) and 4.4 (2.5-8.7), or 12 (4.2-40) and 18 (10-37) for ≤0.3 versus >2. For the 0.3 cutoff, sensitivity was 89% in both studies, and specificity 50 and 53%. For 2.0, sensitivity was 42 and 44%, and specificity 95 and 90%.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] values of 0.3 or greater identify patients at high risk and those >2 at highest risk for AKI and provide new information to support clinical decision-making.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

Clintrials.gov # NCT01209169 (Sapphire) and NCT01846884 (Opal).

摘要

背景

急性肾损伤(AKI)仍然是一种致命疾病。金属蛋白酶组织抑制剂(TIMP)-2和胰岛素样生长因子结合蛋白(IGFBP)7是最近发现的两种用于AKI的尿液生物标志物。我们现在报告使用这些标志物进行检测的两种临床临界值的制定及其诊断准确性。

方法

我们利用先前发表的多中心队列研究(蓝宝石研究)的数据,根据预测12小时内发生的改善全球肾脏病预后组织(KDIGO)2-3期AKI的敏感性和特异性得出临界值。接下来,我们在美国六个地点招募了154名危重症成人进行一项新的研究(蛋白石研究),对这些临界值进行验证。

结果

蓝宝石研究中有100名受试者(14%)、蛋白石研究中有27名受试者(18%)达到主要终点。蛋白石研究的结果重复了蓝宝石研究的结果。在两项研究中,检测结果≤0.3与>0.3-2的受试者的相对风险(95%CI)分别为4.7(1.5-16)和4.4(2.5-8.7),检测结果≤0.3与>2的受试者的相对风险(95%CI)分别为12(4.2-40)和18(10-37)。对于临界值0.3,两项研究的敏感性均为89%,特异性分别为50%和53%。对于临界值2.0,敏感性分别为42%和44%,特异性分别为95%和90%。

结论

尿中TIMP-2·IGFBP7值≥0.3可识别AKI高危患者,值>2则为AKI极高危患者,并为临床决策提供新的信息支持。

临床试验注册

美国国立医学图书馆临床试验注册中心编号#NCT01209169(蓝宝石研究)和NCT01846884(蛋白石研究)

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/04ed/4209880/8d69da1e3c65/gfu29201.jpg

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