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[通过概率方法估算日本人每日无机砷摄入量]

[Daily inorganic arsenic intake of the Japanese estimated by a probabilistic approach].

作者信息

Oguri Tomoko, Yoshinaga Jun

机构信息

Department of Environmental Studies, University of Tokyo.

出版信息

Nihon Eiseigaku Zasshi. 2014;69(3):177-86. doi: 10.1265/jjh.69.177.

DOI:10.1265/jjh.69.177
PMID:25253519
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to estimate the inorganic arsenic (iAs) intake of the general Japanese adult population by a probabilistic approach.

METHODS

Bioaccessible iAs concentrations in rice (n=56) and hijiki (n=32), the two food items that are the major iAs sources for the Japanese, were measured by liquid chromatography-ICP mass spectrometry. The concentration in cooked rice was estimated from the measured concentration in a raw rice sample while taking into consideration the loss of iAs during cooking. The iAs concentration in hijiki was measured using soaked hijiki samples. The daily consumption of cooked rice and soaked hijiki was taken from published data. The distribution profile of daily iAs intake was estimated by multiplying the bioaccesible iAs concentration in cooked rice and soaked hijiki samples by the amount of these samples consumed daily, which were randomly extracted according to the respective distributions. This process was repeated 10,000 times.

RESULTS

The distribution profiles of iAs concentration in rice and hijiki were normal and log-normal, respectively, and those of the amount of cooked rice and soaked hijiki consumed were beta and log-normal, respectively. The daily bioaccessible iAs intake values were estimated to be 19 and 59 μg/day at 50 and 95 percentile. At 50 percentile iAs intake, the contributions from rice and hijiki were estimated to be equal, whereas the contribution from hijiki increased with the estimated total daily iAs intake.

CONCLUSIONS

The iAs intakes of Japanese subjects estimated in previous duplicated portion studies were fairly consistent with the present estimation. Moreover, it was confirmed that the cancer risk derived from dietary iAs intake of the general Japanese population was not negligible.

摘要

目的

采用概率方法估算日本成年普通人群的无机砷(iAs)摄入量。

方法

采用液相色谱 - 电感耦合等离子体质谱法测定大米(n = 56)和羊栖菜(n = 32)中的生物可利用性iAs浓度,这两种食物是日本人iAs的主要来源。在考虑烹饪过程中iAs损失的情况下,根据生米样本中测得的浓度估算熟米饭中的浓度。使用浸泡后的羊栖菜样本测量羊栖菜中的iAs浓度。熟米饭和浸泡后羊栖菜的每日消费量取自已发表的数据。通过将熟米饭和浸泡后羊栖菜样本中的生物可利用性iAs浓度乘以每日消耗的这些样本量(根据各自分布随机抽取)来估算每日iAs摄入量的分布情况。此过程重复10000次。

结果

大米和羊栖菜中iAs浓度的分布分别为正态分布和对数正态分布,熟米饭和浸泡后羊栖菜的消费量分布分别为β分布和对数正态分布。在第50和第95百分位数时,每日生物可利用性iAs摄入量估计分别为19和59μg/天。在第50百分位数的iAs摄入量时,大米和羊栖菜的贡献估计相等,而随着每日iAs总摄入量的增加,羊栖菜的贡献增加。

结论

先前重复份研究中估算的日本受试者的iAs摄入量与本研究估算结果相当一致。此外,已证实日本普通人群膳食iAs摄入所致的癌症风险不可忽视。

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