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胆结石与胆囊切除术相关的原发性肝癌风险:一项荟萃分析。

Risk of primary liver cancer associated with gallstones and cholecystectomy: a meta-analysis.

作者信息

Liu Yanqiong, He Yu, Li Taijie, Xie Li, Wang Jian, Qin Xue, Li Shan

机构信息

Department of Clinical Laboratory, First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2014 Oct 7;9(10):e109733. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0109733. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Recent epidemiological evidence points to an association between gallstones or cholecystectomy and the incidence risk of liver cancer, but the results are inconsistent. We present a meta-analysis of observational studies to explore this association.

METHODS

We identified studies by a literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and relevant conference proceedings up to March 2014. A random-effects model was used to generate pooled multivariable adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q statistic and the I2.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (five case-control and 10 cohort studies) were included in this analysis. There were 4,487,662 subjects in total, 17,945 diagnoses of liver cancer, 328,420 exposed to gallstones, and 884,507 exposed to cholecystectomy. Pooled results indicated a significant increased risk of liver cancer in patients with a history of gallstones (OR = 2.54; 95% CI, 1.71-3.79; n = 11 studies), as well as cholecystectomy (OR = 1.62; 95% CI, 1.29-2.02; n = 12 studies), but there was considerable heterogeneity among these studies. The effects estimates did not vary markedly when stratified by gender, study design, study region, and study quality. The multivariate meta-regression analysis suggested that study region and study quality appeared to explain the heterogeneity observed in the cholecystectomy analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that individuals with a history of gallstones and cholecystectomy may have an increased risk of liver cancer.

摘要

背景

近期的流行病学证据表明胆结石或胆囊切除术与肝癌发病风险之间存在关联,但结果并不一致。我们进行了一项观察性研究的荟萃分析以探讨这种关联。

方法

我们通过检索截至2014年3月的PubMed、EMBASE、Cochrane对照试验中心注册库及相关会议论文集来确定研究。采用随机效应模型生成合并的多变量调整比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)。使用Cochran's Q统计量和I²评估研究间的异质性。

结果

本分析纳入了15项研究(5项病例对照研究和10项队列研究)。总共有4,487,662名受试者,17,945例肝癌诊断病例,328,420例有胆结石暴露史,884,507例有胆囊切除术暴露史。汇总结果表明,有胆结石病史的患者患肝癌的风险显著增加(OR = 2.54;95% CI,1.71 - 3.79;n = 11项研究),胆囊切除术患者也是如此(OR = 1.62;95% CI,1.29 - 2.02;n = 12项研究),但这些研究之间存在相当大的异质性。按性别、研究设计、研究地区和研究质量分层时,效应估计值没有明显差异。多变量荟萃回归分析表明,研究地区和研究质量似乎可以解释胆囊切除术分析中观察到的异质性。

结论

我们的结果表明,有胆结石和胆囊切除术病史的个体患肝癌的风险可能会增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6f51/4188756/02bf3a08f901/pone.0109733.g001.jpg

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