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一项系统评价发现,在存在缺失数据的肌肉骨骼随机对照试验中,意向治疗原则的使用情况存在差异。

A systematic review finds variable use of the intention-to-treat principle in musculoskeletal randomized controlled trials with missing data.

机构信息

Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Research Institute of Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.

Arthritis Research UK Primary Care Centre, Research Institute of Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, ST5 5BG, UK.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2015 Jan;68(1):15-24. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.09.002. Epub 2014 Oct 7.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

In randomized trials, the primary analysis should be consistent with the intention-to-treat (ITT) principle and should address missing data appropriately to draw valid inferences. This review focuses on current practices relating to the ITT principle and methods to handle missing data in the major musculoskeletal journals.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

A systematic review of randomized trials published in 2010 and 2011 in five musculoskeletal journals was performed.

RESULTS

We reviewed 91 trials: 38% performed a full ITT analysis (analyzing outcome data for all randomized participants) and 31% performed a partial ITT analysis (excluding participants with no follow-up data). The overall median dropout was 12%; 60% of trials had more than 10% dropouts, and 32% of trials had more than 20% dropouts. Among those that performed an ITT analysis, the majority adopted a form of single imputation; last observation carried forward was the designated approach in most cases. Mixed models for repeated measures and/or multiple imputations were limited to eight trials.

CONCLUSION

It appears that many trials reporting missing data are inappropriately analyzed and may therefore be prone to biased estimates and invalid inferences.

摘要

目的

在随机试验中,主要分析应与意向治疗(ITT)原则一致,并应适当地处理缺失数据,以得出有效的推论。本综述重点介绍了与 ITT 原则以及处理主要肌肉骨骼期刊中缺失数据的方法相关的当前实践。

研究设计和设置

对 2010 年和 2011 年在五个肌肉骨骼期刊上发表的随机试验进行了系统评价。

结果

我们回顾了 91 项试验:38%进行了完整的 ITT 分析(分析所有随机参与者的结果数据),31%进行了部分 ITT 分析(排除无随访数据的参与者)。总体平均失访率为 12%;60%的试验失访率超过 10%,32%的试验失访率超过 20%。在进行 ITT 分析的试验中,大多数采用了单一插补的形式;在大多数情况下,最后一次观察值结转是指定的方法。混合模型重复测量和/或多次插补仅限于八项试验。

结论

似乎许多报告缺失数据的试验分析不当,因此可能容易产生有偏估计和无效推论。

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