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一生中不同时期的酒精摄入量、随时间变化的摄入模式与全因死亡率。

Alcohol consumption for different periods in life, intake pattern over time and all-cause mortality.

作者信息

Jayasekara Harindra, MacInnis Robert J, Hodge Allison M, Hopper John L, Giles Graham G, Room Robin, English Dallas R

机构信息

Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia.

Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia Cancer Epidemiology Centre, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia.

出版信息

J Public Health (Oxf). 2015 Dec;37(4):625-33. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdu082. Epub 2014 Oct 15.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Conventionally, cohort studies have assessed the association between alcohol and all-cause mortality by using alcohol intake at enrolment.

METHODS

In the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study, participants were asked about usual frequency and quantity of beverage-specific alcohol intake for 10-year periods starting at age 20 from which current, past and lifetime intakes were calculated. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios for mortality for 39 577 participants of the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study aged 40-69 at baseline.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 15 years/person, we identified 4639 deaths. Associations between all-cause mortality and lifetime, current (baseline) and past intake were J shaped, with lower mortality at low intake (e.g. <40 g/day for men and 10 g/day for women using lifetime intake) and elevated mortality at higher intake. For men, consistent light-to-moderate drinking (>0-39/>0-39 g/day) from age 20 to baseline age was associated with a 16% lower mortality, while heavy drinking at both ages (≥80/≥40 and ≥40/0 g/day) was associated with higher mortality compared with stable abstinence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support a reduced mortality risk associated with low-dose drinking but also highlight a higher mortality risk for consistent heavy drinking from a young age.

摘要

背景

传统上,队列研究通过使用入组时的酒精摄入量来评估酒精与全因死亡率之间的关联。

方法

在墨尔本协作队列研究中,参与者被问及从20岁开始的10年期间特定饮料的酒精摄入频率和量,据此计算当前、过去和终生摄入量。我们使用Cox回归来估计墨尔本协作队列研究中39577名基线年龄在40 - 69岁的参与者的死亡风险比。

结果

在人均15年的随访期后,我们确定了4639例死亡。全因死亡率与终生、当前(基线)和过去摄入量之间的关联呈J形,低摄入量时死亡率较低(例如,终生摄入量男性<40克/天,女性<10克/天),高摄入量时死亡率升高。对于男性,从20岁到基线年龄持续轻度至中度饮酒(>0 - 39/>0 - 39克/天)与死亡率降低16%相关,而两个年龄段均大量饮酒(≥80/≥40和≥40/0克/天)与持续戒酒相比死亡率更高。

结论

我们的研究结果支持低剂量饮酒与降低的死亡风险相关,但也凸显了从年轻时就持续大量饮酒会带来更高的死亡风险。

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