Grech V
Department of Paediatrics, Mater Dei Hospital, Malta.
West Indian Med J. 2014 Aug;63(4):368-72. doi: 10.7727/wimj.2013.336. Epub 2014 May 5.
Secular trends have been found in the male-female ratio at birth (M/F: male births divided by total births) in various countries and this ratio is anticipated to approximate 0.515.
Annual national data for male and female live births in Cuba with contingency tables were obtained from the World Health Organisation and analysed.
There were 3 736 718 male and 3 534 270 female births (1960-96). Births declined steadily over the entire period. The male-female ratio at birth remained relatively stable over the period 1960-1985 with significant sharp dips for the years 1966, 1980 and 1985. There was a sharp rise in M/F from 1966 to 1969, another rise after 1985, a steep drop to 1989, and then a sharp rise once more after 1993 (all p < 0.0001).
The single year dips are associated with the passage of laws in the United States of America (USA) that facilitated Cuban entry to the USA. The increases in M/F tended to be associated with a skew toward an efflux from Cuba that was predominantly male. This paralleled the situation in the Second World War where a surplus of women left behind led to an increase in M/F in belligerent countries. To the author's knowledge, this is the first report of migration influencing M/F.
在各个国家出生时的男女比例(M/F:男婴出生数除以总出生数)呈现出长期趋势,预计该比例约为0.515。
从世界卫生组织获取古巴年度全国男女生育数据及列联表并进行分析。
1960年至1996年期间,有3736718例男婴出生和3534270例女婴出生。在此期间出生人数稳步下降。1960年至1985年期间出生时的男女比例相对稳定,1966年、1980年和1985年出现显著急剧下降。1966年至1969年M/F急剧上升,1985年后再次上升,1989年急剧下降,然后1993年后再次急剧上升(所有p<0.0001)。
单年下降与美利坚合众国(美国)通过的便于古巴人进入美国的法律有关。M/F的增加往往与古巴外流人口以男性为主的偏向有关。这与第二次世界大战期间的情况相似,当时留下的女性过剩导致参战国的M/F增加。据作者所知,这是关于移民影响M/F的首次报告。