Nixon Christian P, Nixon Christina E, Arsyad Dian Sidik, Chand Krisin, Yudhaputri Frilasita A, Sumarto Wajiyo, Wangsamuda Suradi, Asih Puji B, Marantina Sylvia S, Wahid Isra, Han Gang, Friedman Jennifer F, Bangs Michael J, Syafruddin Din, Baird J Kevin
Pathog Glob Health. 2014 Dec;108(8):369-80. doi: 10.1179/2047773214Y.0000000167. Epub 2014 Dec 10.
The decline in intensity of malaria transmission in many areas now emphasizes greater importance of understanding the epidemiology of low to moderate transmission settings. Marked heterogeneity in infection risk within these populations creates opportunities to understand transmission and guide resource allocation to greater impact.
In this study, we examined spatial patterns of malaria transmission in a hypo- to meso-endemic area of eastern Indonesia using malaria prevalence data collected from a cross-sectional socio-demographic and parasitological survey conducted from August to November 2010. An entomological survey performed in parallel, identified, mapped, and monitored local anopheline larval habitats.
A single spatial cluster of higher malaria prevalence was detected during the study period (relative risk=2.13; log likelihood ratio=20.7; P<0.001). In hierarchical multivariate regression models, risk of parasitemia was inversely correlated with distance to five Anopheles sundaicus known larval habitats [odds ratio (OR)=0.21; 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.14-0.32; P<0.001], which were located in a geographically restricted band adjacent to the coastline. Increasing distance from these sites predicted increased hemoglobin level across age strata after adjusting for confounders (OR=1.6; 95% CI=1.30-1.98; P<0.001).
Significant clustering of malaria parasitemia in close proximity to very specific and relatively few An. sundaicus larval habitats has direct implications for local control strategy, policy, and practice. These findings suggest that larval source management could achieve profound if not complete impact in this region.
目前,许多地区疟疾传播强度的下降凸显了了解低至中等传播环境流行病学的重要性。这些人群中感染风险存在显著异质性,这为了解传播情况并指导资源分配以产生更大影响创造了机会。
在本研究中,我们利用2010年8月至11月进行的横断面社会人口学和寄生虫学调查收集的疟疾流行率数据,研究了印度尼西亚东部一个低至中流行地区的疟疾传播空间模式。同时进行的昆虫学调查确定、绘制并监测了当地按蚊幼虫栖息地。
在研究期间检测到一个疟疾流行率较高的单一空间聚集区(相对风险=2.13;对数似然比=20.7;P<0.001)。在分层多变量回归模型中,寄生虫血症风险与距五个已知的苏门答腊按蚊幼虫栖息地的距离呈负相关[比值比(OR)=0.21;95%置信区间(CI)=0.14-0.32;P<0.001],这些栖息地位于与海岸线相邻的地理受限地带。在调整混杂因素后,距这些地点距离增加预示着各年龄层血红蛋白水平升高(OR=1.6;95%CI=1.30-1.98;P<0.001)。
在非常特定且数量相对较少的苏门答腊按蚊幼虫栖息地附近,疟疾寄生虫血症存在显著聚集,这对当地控制策略、政策和实践具有直接影响。这些发现表明,幼虫源管理在该地区即使不能完全产生影响,也可能取得深远成效。