Ashraf Quamrul, Galor Oded
Williams College Department of Economics 24 Hopkins Hall Drive Williamstown, MA 01267.
Department of Economics Brown University Box B Providence, RI 02912 and NBER.
Am Econ Rev. 2013 Feb;103(1):1-46. doi: 10.1257/aer.103.1.1.
This research argues that deep-rooted factors, determined tens of thousands of years ago, had a significant effect on the course of economic development from the dawn of human civilization to the contemporary era. It advances and empirically establishes the hypothesis that, in the course of the exodus of Homo sapiens out of Africa, variation in migratory distance from the cradle of humankind to various settlements across the globe affected genetic diversity and has had a long-lasting effect on the pattern of comparative economic development that is not captured by geographical, institutional, and cultural factors. In particular, the level of genetic diversity within a society is found to have a hump-shaped effect on development outcomes in both the pre-colonial and the modern era, reflecting the trade-off between the beneficial and the detrimental effects of diversity on productivity. While the intermediate level of genetic diversity prevalent among Asian and European populations has been conducive for development, the high degree of diversity among African populations and the low degree of diversity among Native American populations have been a detrimental force in the development of these regions.
本研究认为,数万年前就已确定的根深蒂固的因素,对从人类文明起源到当代的经济发展进程产生了重大影响。它提出并通过实证确立了这样一种假说:在智人走出非洲的过程中,从人类摇篮到全球各地不同定居点的迁徙距离差异影响了基因多样性,并对比较经济发展模式产生了持久影响,而地理、制度和文化因素并未捕捉到这种影响。特别是,研究发现,一个社会内部的基因多样性水平在前殖民时代和现代对发展成果都具有驼峰状效应,这反映了多样性对生产力的有益影响和有害影响之间的权衡。虽然亚洲和欧洲人口中普遍存在的中等基因多样性水平有利于发展,但非洲人口中的高度多样性和美洲原住民人口中的低多样性水平对这些地区的发展起到了不利作用。