Kinney Walter, Wright Thomas C, Dinkelspiel Helen E, DeFrancesco Mark, Thomas Cox J, Huh Warner
Department of Women's Health, the Permanente Medical Group, Sacramento, California; the Department of Pathology (emeritus) and the Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York; the University of Connecticut, Farmington, Connecticut; the University of California (retired), Santa Barbara, California; and the University of Alabama, Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Obstet Gynecol. 2015 Feb;125(2):311-315. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000000632.
The 2012 national recommendations for cervical cancer screening will produce a lower level of cervical cancer protection than previously afforded by annual cytology or 3-year cotesting. After a single negative cotest result, the risk of cervical cancer is twice as large at 5 years as it is at 3 years. Modeling published since the 2012 guidelines were drafted indicates that extending the cotesting screening interval from 3 to 5 years at ages 30-64 years will result in an additional 1 woman in 369 compliant with screening receiving a cervical cancer diagnosis during her lifetime, and an additional 1 in 1,639 dying of cervical cancer. The authors believe that a significant number of patients and providers would not choose to accept these additional risks if they understood them, despite the recognition of potential harms associated with more intensive screening.
2012年宫颈癌筛查的国家建议所提供的宫颈癌防护水平,将低于以往每年进行细胞学检查或每3年联合检测所提供的防护水平。在单次联合检测结果为阴性后,5年时患宫颈癌的风险是3年时的两倍。自2012年指南起草以来发表的模型研究表明,将30至64岁女性的联合检测筛查间隔从3年延长至5年,每369名依从筛查的女性中,将有1名女性在其一生中被诊断为宫颈癌,每1639名女性中,将有1名女性死于宫颈癌。作者认为,尽管认识到强化筛查存在潜在危害,但如果大量患者和医疗服务提供者了解这些额外风险,他们不会选择接受这些风险。