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SCORE:一种用于评估污染土地修复可持续性的新型多准则决策分析方法。

SCORE: a novel multi-criteria decision analysis approach to assessing the sustainability of contaminated land remediation.

机构信息

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.

Swedish Geotechnical Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2015 Apr 1;511:621-38. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.12.058. Epub 2015 Jan 13.

Abstract

The multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method provides for a comprehensive and transparent basis for performing sustainability assessments. Development of a relevant MCDA-method requires consideration of a number of key issues, e.g. (a) definition of assessment boundaries, (b) definition of performance scales, both temporal and spatial, (c) selection of relevant criteria (indicators) that facilitate a comprehensive sustainability assessment while avoiding double-counting of effects, and (d) handling of uncertainties. Adding to the complexity is the typically wide variety of inputs, including quantifications based on existing data, expert judgements, and opinions expressed in interviews. The SCORE (Sustainable Choice Of REmediation) MCDA-method was developed to provide a transparent assessment of the sustainability of possible remediation alternatives for contaminated sites relative to a reference alternative, considering key criteria in the economic, environmental, and social sustainability domains. The criteria were identified based on literature studies, interviews and focus-group meetings. SCORE combines a linear additive model to rank the alternatives with a non-compensatory approach to identify alternatives regarded as non-sustainable. The key strengths of the SCORE method are as follows: a framework that at its core is designed to be flexible and transparent; the possibility to integrate both quantitative and qualitative estimations on criteria; its ability, unlike other sustainability assessment tools used in industry and academia, to allow for the alteration of boundary conditions where necessary; the inclusion of a full uncertainty analysis of the results, using Monte Carlo simulation; and a structure that allows preferences and opinions of involved stakeholders to be openly integrated into the analysis. A major insight from practical application of SCORE is that its most important contribution may be that it initiates a process where criteria otherwise likely ignored are addressed and openly discussed between stakeholders.

摘要

多准则决策分析(MCDA)方法为进行可持续性评估提供了全面和透明的基础。开发相关的 MCDA 方法需要考虑一些关键问题,例如:(a)评估边界的定义;(b)时间和空间上的绩效尺度定义;(c)选择相关标准(指标),以促进全面的可持续性评估,同时避免效果的重复计算;(d)处理不确定性。更复杂的是,输入通常种类繁多,包括基于现有数据的量化、专家判断以及访谈中表达的意见。SCORE(可持续选择修复)MCDA 方法旨在提供一种透明的评估,评估受污染场地可能的修复替代方案相对于参考替代方案的可持续性,考虑经济、环境和社会可持续性领域的关键标准。这些标准是基于文献研究、访谈和焦点小组会议确定的。SCORE 将线性加性模型与非补偿方法相结合,对替代方案进行排名,并确定被认为不可持续的替代方案。SCORE 方法的主要优势如下:a)核心设计灵活透明的框架;b)能够整合标准的定量和定性估计;c)与行业和学术界使用的其他可持续性评估工具不同,它能够在必要时改变边界条件;d)对结果进行全面的不确定性分析,使用蒙特卡罗模拟;e)允许公开将相关利益相关者的偏好和意见纳入分析的结构。从 SCORE 的实际应用中得出的一个主要见解是,它最重要的贡献可能是它启动了一个过程,在这个过程中,否则可能被忽视的标准被利益相关者注意到并公开讨论。

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