Brookes V J, Hernández-Jover M, Holyoake P, Ward M P
Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, New South Wales, Australia.
Aust Vet J. 2015 Jan-Feb;93(1-2):13-9. doi: 10.1111/avj.12284.
To assess industry expert opinion on the likely occurrence of entry and exposure routes relevant to a potential incursion of highly pathogenic (HP) porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) virus from south-east Asia to Australia.
Expert opinion elicitation of pig-industry stakeholders using a face-to-face questionnaire.
Pig industry experts identified exposure routes involving the disposal of food waste to have the highest probability of occurrence. They were also concerned about the exposure of commercial pigs to humans acting as fomites of PRRS virus, and to feed and additives imported from south-east Asia. They did not consistently agree on the probability of occurrence of entry routes.
This study demonstrated that the expert elicitation technique was useful in rapidly assessing opinion from a large group of pig industry experts regarding exposure of pigs in Australia to HP-PRRS virus. The results of this survey were used to direct a risk assessment of an incursion of HP-PRRS.
评估行业专家对于高致病性猪繁殖与呼吸综合征（HP-PRRS）病毒从东南亚传入澳大利亚可能出现的传入途径和暴露途径的看法。
通过面对面问卷调查对养猪行业利益相关者进行专家意见征集。
养猪行业专家认为涉及食物垃圾处理的暴露途径发生概率最高。他们还担心商品猪会通过作为PRRS病毒污染物的人类以及从东南亚进口的饲料和添加剂而受到感染。他们对于传入途径发生的概率并未达成一致意见。
本研究表明，专家意见征集技术有助于快速评估一大批养猪行业专家对于澳大利亚猪只接触HP-PRRS病毒的看法。本次调查结果被用于指导对HP-PRRS传入的风险评估。
