Effect of the Mehran risk score for the prediction of clinical outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND

The association of Mehran risk score (MRS) with long-term prognosis in patients treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not been fully reported. We investigated the association between MRS and clinical outcomes in patients who underwent PCI.

METHODS

Study subjects comprised 2198 patients treated with PCI from the Ibaraki Cardiovascular Assessment Study multicenter registry, excluding patients receiving hemodialysis or who died within 7 days. We categorized them into 4 groups according to MRS (low-risk: ≤5; medium-risk: 6-10; high-risk: 11-16; and very high-risk: ≥16). Contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) was defined as an increase of 0.5mg/dL or 25% in pre-PCI serum creatinine within 1-week post procedure. We evaluated CI-AKI and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or cerebrovascular disorder (stroke or transient ischemic attack).

RESULTS

A total of 192 (8.7%) patients developed CI-AKI. At multivariate analysis, odds ratio for CI-AKI was 4.09 (95% CI: 1.72-9.17, p=0.002) in the very high-risk group, 1.49 (95% CI: 0.89-2.42, p=0.120) in the high-risk group, and 1.08 (95% CI: 0.74-1.54, p=0.693) in the medium-risk group, as compared with the low-risk group. MACCE in the very high-risk group was more than 5-fold higher [hazard ratio (HR) 5.40, 95% CI: 2.96-9.28, p<0.001] compared with the low-risk group and was also increased in the high-risk (HR 3.72, CI: 2.59-5.32, p<0.001) and medium-risk groups (HR 1.97, CI: 1.45-2.69, p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that increasing risk for MACCE was seen across the groups as MRS increased (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

MRS might provide potentially useful information for prediction of CI-AKI and clinical outcomes after PCI.