Duarte Elisabeth Carmen, Ramalho Walter Massa, Tauil Pedro Luiz, Fontes Cor Jésus Fernandes, Pang Lorrin
Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF.
Faculdade da Ceilândia, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF.
Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2014 Nov-Dec;47(6):763-9. doi: 10.1590/0037-8682-0274-2014.
More than half of the malaria cases reported in the Americas are from the Brazilian Amazon region. While malaria is considered endemic in this region, its geographical distribution is extremely heterogeneous. Therefore, it is important to investigate the distribution of malaria and to determine regions whereby action might be necessary.
Changes in malaria indicators in all municipalities of the Brazilian Amazon between 2003-2004 and 2008-2009 were studied. The malaria indicators included the absolute number of malaria cases and deaths, the bi-annual parasite incidence (BPI), BPI ratios and differences, a Lorenz curve and Gini coefficients.
During the study period, mortality from malaria remained low (0.02% deaths/case), the percent of municipalities that became malaria-free increased from 15.6% to 31.7%, and the Gini coefficient increased from 82% to 87%. In 2003, 10% of the municipalities with the highest BPI accumulated 67% of all malaria cases, compared with 2009, when 10% of the municipalities (with the highest BPI) had 80% of the malaria cases.
This study described an overall decrease in malaria transmission in the Brazilian Amazon region. As expected, an increased heterogeneity of malaria indicators was found, which reinforces the notion that a single strategy may not bring about uniformly good outcomes. The geographic clustering of municipalities identified as problem areas might help to define better intervention methods.
美洲报告的疟疾病例半数以上来自巴西亚马逊地区。虽然疟疾在该地区被视为地方病,但其地理分布极不均衡。因此,调查疟疾分布情况并确定可能需要采取行动的地区很重要。
研究了2003 - 2004年至2008 - 2009年巴西亚马逊所有城市疟疾指标的变化。疟疾指标包括疟疾病例和死亡的绝对数量、两年寄生虫发病率(BPI)、BPI比率和差异、洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数。
在研究期间,疟疾死亡率仍然很低(0.02%死亡/病例),无疟疾城市的百分比从15.6%增至31.7%,基尼系数从82%增至87%。2003年,BPI最高的10%城市累计疟疾病例占所有病例的67%,相比之下,2009年BPI最高的10%城市疟疾病例占80%。
本研究描述了巴西亚马逊地区疟疾传播总体下降的情况。正如预期的那样,发现疟疾指标的异质性增加,这强化了单一策略可能不会带来一致良好结果的观点。确定为问题地区的城市的地理聚集可能有助于确定更好的干预方法。