Sanders Nicholas J, Stoecker Charles
College of William & Mary, Department of Economics, United States.
Tulane University, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, United States.
J Health Econ. 2015 May;41:30-45. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2014.12.005. Epub 2015 Jan 10.
Fetal health is an important consideration in policy formation. Unfortunately, a complete census of fetal deaths, an important measure of overall fetal health, is infeasible, and available data are selectively observed. We consider this issue in the context of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970 (CAAA), one of the largest and most influential environmental regulations in the history of the United States. We discuss a model of potential bias in measuring observed fetal deaths, and present the sex ratio of live births as an alternative fetal health endpoint, taking advantage of the finding that males are more vulnerable to side effects of maternal stress in utero. We find the CAAA caused substantial improvements in fetal health, in addition to previously identified reductions in post-natal mortality.
胎儿健康是政策制定中的一个重要考量因素。不幸的是,对胎儿死亡情况进行全面普查(这是衡量整体胎儿健康的一项重要指标)是不可行的,现有的数据是经过选择性观察得到的。我们在美国历史上规模最大、最具影响力的环境法规之一——1970年《清洁空气法修正案》(CAAA)的背景下探讨这一问题。我们讨论了在衡量观察到的胎儿死亡情况时潜在偏差的模型,并利用男性在子宫内更容易受到母体压力副作用影响这一发现,将活产性别比作为替代的胎儿健康终点指标。我们发现,除了先前确定的产后死亡率降低之外,CAAA还使胎儿健康状况有了显著改善。