University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland.
University of St. Gallen, Swiss Institute for Empirical Economic Research, St. Gallen, Switzerland.
Health Econ. 2021 Sep;30(9):2092-2123. doi: 10.1002/hec.4366. Epub 2021 Jun 2.
This paper studies the effect of birth allowances (so-called baby bonus) on fertility, newborn health, and birth-scheduling in Switzerland. Switzerland provides an optimal quasi-experiment: 11 out of 26 cantons introduced a baby bonus during the last 50 years at different points in time. To identify the effect of changes in the baby bonus, we employ an event study with control groups using several administrative data sets on births, stillbirths, and infant deaths in Switzerland from 1969 to 2017. While there is no evidence for birth-scheduling, we find, however, a sizable but only temporary increase in the fertility rate of 5.5% and a permanent but diminishing increase in the birth weight of 2.8%. The latter effect is particularly strong at the lower end of the birth weight distribution. Furthermore, we document substantial heterogeneity by citizenship of mothers.
本文研究了生育津贴(所谓的婴儿津贴)对瑞士生育率、新生儿健康和生育时间安排的影响。瑞士提供了一个最佳的准实验:在过去的 50 年里,26 个州中的 11 个在不同时间点引入了婴儿津贴。为了确定婴儿津贴变化的影响,我们采用了事件研究法,并使用了瑞士从 1969 年到 2017 年的出生、死产和婴儿死亡的几个行政数据集作为对照组。虽然没有证据表明生育时间安排的情况,但我们发现,生育率确实有一个相当大但只是暂时的 5.5%的增长,以及出生体重永久性但逐渐减少的 2.8%的增长。后者的影响在出生体重分布的较低端尤为明显。此外,我们还发现母亲的公民身份存在显著的异质性。