Sede Peter I, Ohemeng Williams
Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Benin, Edo state, Nigeria.
Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration (GIMPA), Accra, Ghana.
Health Econ Rev. 2015 Feb 7;5:2. doi: 10.1186/s13561-014-0037-z. eCollection 2015.
Attainment of 70 years life expectancy by 2020 is one of the millennium development goals in Nigeria. This study examined the socio-economic determinants of life expectancy in Nigeria using data from 1980-2011. Judging from the endogeneity feature of the variables, A VAR and VECM frameworks were employed. Socio-economic features were proxy by secondary school enrolment, government expenditure on health, per capita income, unemployment rate and the Naira foreign exchange rate. It was found that, the conventional socio-economic variables such as per capita income, education and government expenditure on health considered to be highly effective in determining life expectancy of developing countries are not significant in the case of Nigeria. The study however suggests that, life expectancy in Nigeria could be improved if attention is given to quality of government health expenditure, unemployment and measures to halt the depreciation of the Nigerian Naira against major foreign currency.
到2020年实现预期寿命70岁是尼日利亚的千年发展目标之一。本研究利用1980年至2011年的数据,考察了尼日利亚预期寿命的社会经济决定因素。从变量的内生性特征来看,采用了向量自回归(VAR)和向量误差修正模型(VECM)框架。社会经济特征由中学入学率、政府卫生支出、人均收入、失业率和奈拉汇率来代表。研究发现,在尼日利亚,传统上被认为对确定发展中国家预期寿命非常有效的社会经济变量,如人均收入、教育和政府卫生支出,并不显著。然而,该研究表明,如果关注政府卫生支出的质量、失业问题以及阻止奈拉对主要外币贬值的措施,尼日利亚的预期寿命可能会得到提高。