Aging in Lebanon: perils and prospects.

Lebanon is currently experiencing unique and dynamic demographic shifts towards an aging population: past and present fertility are among the lowest in the Arab region and crude mortality rates have decreased in the past few decades from 9.1 to 7.1 per thousand. Increased waves of emigration of youthful adults seeking better work opportunities elsewhere, as well as counter-waves of 'return migration' of older Lebanese workers from neighboring host countries contribute further to the 'rectangularization' of the population pyramid. These trends are accompanied by an epidemiological transition towards non-communicable diseases, mental disorders and degenerative diseases as the leading causes of mortality and morbidity in lieu of communicable diseases. We examine in this paper the implications of these transformations on the health profile of older persons and on the social and health care available to them. Findings are discussed within the prevailing conflicts and political strife in the country, family transformations and structural settings including pension systems, health coverage, family support channels and social fabric, and nursing home-care. The paper ends with recommendations and options for.reforms.