Xie Yu, Cheng Siwei, Zhou Xiang
Institute for Social Research and Department of Sociology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48104; and Center for Social Research, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Institute for Social Research and Department of Sociology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48104; and.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 May 12;112(19):5974-8. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1504811112. Epub 2015 Apr 27.
Assortative mating--marriage of a man and a woman with similar social characteristics--is a commonly observed phenomenon. In the existing literature in both sociology and economics, this phenomenon has mainly been attributed to individuals' conscious preferences for assortative mating. In this paper, we show that patterns of assortative mating may arise from another structural source even if individuals do not have assortative preferences or possess complementary attributes: dynamic processes of marriages in a closed system. For a given cohort of youth in a finite population, as the percentage of married persons increases, unmarried persons who newly enter marriage are systematically different from those who married earlier, giving rise to the phenomenon of assortative mating. We use microsimulation methods to illustrate this dynamic process, using first the conventional deterministic Gale-Shapley model, then a probabilistic Gale-Shapley model, and then two versions of the encounter mating model.
选型婚配——具有相似社会特征的男女结合——是一种常见现象。在社会学和经济学的现有文献中,这种现象主要归因于个人对选型婚配的有意识偏好。在本文中,我们表明,即使个人没有选型偏好或具备互补属性,选型婚配模式也可能源于另一个结构源:封闭系统中的婚姻动态过程。对于有限人口中特定的青年群体,随着已婚者比例的增加,新进入婚姻的未婚者与较早结婚的人在系统上存在差异,从而产生选型婚配现象。我们使用微观模拟方法来说明这一动态过程,首先使用传统的确定性盖尔-沙普利模型,然后是概率性盖尔-沙普利模型,接着是相遇婚配模型的两个版本。