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[北京电动出租车与汽油出租车的生命周期环境影响比较评估]

[Comparative life cycle environmental assessment between electric taxi and gasoline taxi in Beijing].

作者信息

Shi Xiao-Qing, Sun Zhao-Xin, Li Xiao-Nuo, Li Jin-Xiang, Yang Jian-Xin

出版信息

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2015 Mar;36(3):1105-16.

Abstract

Tailpipe emission of internal combustion engine vehicle (ICEV) is one of the main sources leading to atmospheric environmental problems such as haze. Substituting electric vehicles for conventional gasoline vehicles is an important solution for reducing urban air pollution. In 2011, as a pilot city of electric vehicle, Beijing launched a promotion plan of electric vehicle. In order to compare the environmental impacts between Midi electric vehicle (Midi EV) and Hyundai gasoline taxi (ICEV), this study created an inventory with local data and well-reasoned assumptions, and contributed a life cycle assessment (LCA) model with GaBi4.4 software and comparative life cycle environmental assessment by Life cycle impact analysis models of CML2001(Problem oriented) and EI99 (Damage oriented), which included the environmental impacts of full life cycle, manufacture phase, use phase and end of life. The sensitivity analysis of lifetime mileage and power structure was also provided. The results indicated that the full life cycle environmental impact of Midi EV was smaller than Hyundai ICEV, which was mainly due to the lower fossil fuel consumption. On the contrary, Midi EV exhibited the potential of increasing the environmental impacts of ecosystem quality influence and Human health influence. By CML2001 model, the results indicated that Midi EV might decrease the impact of Abiotic Depletion Potential, Global Warming Potential, Ozone Layer Depletion Potential and so on. However, in the production phase, the impact of Abiotic Depletion Potential, Acidification Potential, Eutrophication Potential, Global Warming Potential, Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential, Ozone Layer Depletion Potential, Marine Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential, Terrestric Ecotoxicity Potential, Human Toxicity Potential of Midi EV were increased relative to Hyundai ICEV because of emissions impacts from its power system especially the battery production. Besides, in the use phase, electricity production was the main process leading to the impact of Abiotic Depletion Potential, Acidification Potential, Eutrophication Potential, Global Warming Potential, Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential, Marine Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential, Freshwater Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential, Human Toxicity Potential. While for Hyundai ICEV, gasoline production and tailpipe emission were the primary sources of environmental impact in the use phase. Tailpipe emission was a significant cause for increase in Eutrophication Potential and Global Warming Potential, and so forth. On the basis of inventory data analysis and 2010 Beijing electricity mix, the comparative results of haze-induced pollutants emissions showed that the full life cycle emissions of PM2.5, NO(x), SO(x), VOCs of Midi EV were higher than those of Hyundai ICEV, but the emission of NH3 was lower than that of Hyundai ICEV. Different emissions in use phase were the chief reason leading to this trend. In addition, by sensitivity analysis the results indicated that with the increase of lifetime mileage and proportion of cleaning energy, the rate of GHG( Green House Gas) emission reduction per kilometer of Midi EV became higher with respect to Hyundai ICEV. Haze-induced pollutants emission from EV could be significantly reduced using cleaner power energy. According to the assessment results, some management strategies aiming at electric car promotion were proposed.

摘要

内燃机车辆(ICEV)的尾气排放是导致雾霾等大气环境问题的主要来源之一。用电动汽车替代传统汽油车是减少城市空气污染的重要解决方案。2011年,作为电动汽车试点城市,北京启动了电动汽车推广计划。为了比较比亚迪电动车(Midi EV)和现代汽油出租车(ICEV)对环境的影响,本研究利用当地数据和合理假设创建了清单,并使用GaBi4.4软件建立了生命周期评估(LCA)模型,并通过CML2001(面向问题)和EI99(面向损害)的生命周期影响分析模型进行了比较生命周期环境评估,其中包括全生命周期、制造阶段、使用阶段和报废阶段的环境影响。还提供了对使用寿命里程和动力结构的敏感性分析。结果表明,比亚迪电动车的全生命周期环境影响小于现代ICEV,这主要是由于化石燃料消耗较低。相反,比亚迪电动车在生态系统质量影响和人类健康影响方面有增加环境影响的潜力。通过CML2001模型,结果表明比亚迪电动车可能会降低非生物资源耗竭潜力、全球变暖潜力、臭氧层损耗潜力等的影响。然而,在生产阶段,比亚迪电动车的非生物资源耗竭潜力、酸化潜力、富营养化潜力、全球变暖潜力、光化学臭氧生成潜力、臭氧层损耗潜力、海洋水生生态毒性潜力、陆地生态毒性潜力、人类毒性潜力相对于现代ICEV有所增加,这是由于其动力系统尤其是电池生产的排放影响。此外,在使用阶段,发电是导致非生物资源耗竭潜力、酸化潜力、富营养化潜力、全球变暖潜力、光化学臭氧生成潜力、海洋水生生态毒性潜力、淡水水生生态毒性潜力、人类毒性潜力影响的主要过程。而对于现代ICEV,汽油生产和尾气排放是使用阶段环境影响的主要来源。尾气排放是富营养化潜力和全球变暖潜力等增加的重要原因。基于清单数据分析和2010年北京的电力结构,雾霾诱导污染物排放的比较结果表明,比亚迪电动车的PM2.5、NO(x)、SO(x)、VOCs的全生命周期排放量高于现代ICEV,但NH3排放量低于现代ICEV。使用阶段的不同排放是导致这种趋势的主要原因。此外,通过敏感性分析结果表明,随着使用寿命里程和清洁能源比例的增加,比亚迪电动车相对于现代ICEV每公里的温室气体(GHG)减排率变得更高。使用更清洁的电力能源可以显著减少电动车的雾霾诱导污染物排放。根据评估结果,提出了一些针对电动汽车推广的管理策略。

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