Taylor Caitlin J
Violence Vict. 2015;30(2):342-60. doi: 10.1891/0886-6708.vv-d-13-00139.
Although various research confirms an overlap between victims and offenders, much less is known about victimization and recidivism. Using data from the Serious and Violent Offender Reentry Initiative evaluation, this study measures the extent to which the frequency of recent victimization influences recidivism in the 15 months following release from prison. Buffering effects are also investigated by examining whether family support moderates the relationship between victimization and recidivism. After controlling for other known predictors of recidivism, logistic regression models using both listwise deletion and multiple imputation reveal that more frequent victimization significantly increases the likelihood of any self-reported recidivism and has a particularly large effect on violent recidivism for those previously convicted of serious and violent offenses. Even at higher levels of family support, victimization still increases the likelihood of reoffending.
尽管各种研究证实了受害者和犯罪者之间存在重叠,但对于受害情况和再犯问题的了解却少得多。本研究利用“严重暴力罪犯重新入狱计划”评估中的数据,衡量近期受害频率在从监狱释放后的15个月内对再犯的影响程度。还通过考察家庭支持是否缓和了受害情况与再犯之间的关系来研究缓冲效应。在控制了其他已知的再犯预测因素后,使用逐行删除法和多重插补法的逻辑回归模型显示,更频繁的受害显著增加了任何自我报告的再犯可能性,并且对那些先前被判犯有严重暴力罪行的人而言,对暴力再犯有特别大的影响。即使在家庭支持水平较高的情况下,受害仍然会增加再次犯罪的可能性。