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种群密度和气候影响一种长寿远洋海鸟的幼鸟存活率和补充率。

Population density and climate shape early-life survival and recruitment in a long-lived pelagic seabird.

作者信息

Fay Rémi, Weimerskirch Henri, Delord Karine, Barbraud Christophe

机构信息

Centre d'Etudes Biologiques de Chizé, UMR 7372 CNRS/Univ La Rochelle, Villiers-en-Bois, 79360, France.

出版信息

J Anim Ecol. 2015 Sep;84(5):1423-33. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12390. Epub 2015 Jul 6.

DOI:10.1111/1365-2656.12390
PMID:25976400
Abstract
  1. Our understanding of demographic processes is mainly based on analyses of traits from the adult component of populations. Early-life demographic traits are poorly known mainly for methodological reasons. Yet, survival of juvenile and immature individuals is critical for the recruitment into the population and thus for the whole population dynamic, especially for long-lived species. This bias currently restrains our ability to fully understand population dynamics of long-lived species and life-history theory. 2. The goal of this study was to estimate the early-life demographic parameters of a long-lived species with a long immature period (9-10 years), to test for sex and age effects on these parameters and to identify the environmental factors encountered during the period of immaturity that may influence survival and recruitment. 3. Using capture-mark-recapture multievent models allowing us to deal with uncertain and unobservable individual states, we analysed a long-term data set of wandering albatrosses to estimate both age- and sex-specific early-life survival and recruitment. We investigated environmental factors potentially driving these demographic traits using climatic and fisheries covariates and tested for density dependence. 4. Our study provides for the first time an estimate of annual survival during the first 2 years at sea for an albatross species (0·801 ± 0·014). Both age and sex affected early-life survival and recruitment processes of this long-lived seabird species. Early-life survival and recruitment were highly variable across years although the sensitivity of young birds to environmental variability decreased with age. Early-life survival was negatively associated with sea surface temperature, and recruitment rate was positively related to both Southern Annular Mode and sea surface temperature. We found strong evidence for density-dependent mortality of juveniles. Population size explained 41% of the variation of this parameter over the study period. 5. These results indicate that early-life survival and recruitment were strongly age and sex dependent in a dimorphic long-lived species. In addition, early-life demographic parameters were affected by natal environmental conditions and by environmental conditions faced during the period of immaturity. Finally, our results constitute one of the first demonstrations of density dependence on juvenile survival in seabirds, with major consequences for our understanding of population dynamics in seabirds.
摘要
  1. 我们对种群动态过程的理解主要基于对种群成年个体特征的分析。由于方法学原因,早期生命阶段的种群统计学特征鲜为人知。然而,幼年和未成熟个体的存活对于补充到种群中进而对于整个种群动态至关重要,尤其是对于长寿物种。这种偏差目前限制了我们全面理解长寿物种种群动态和生活史理论的能力。2. 本研究的目的是估计一种具有较长未成熟期(9 - 10年)的长寿物种的早期生命阶段种群统计学参数,检验性别和年龄对这些参数的影响,并确定未成熟阶段所遇到的可能影响存活和补充的环境因素。3. 使用允许我们处理不确定和不可观察个体状态的标记重捕多事件模型,我们分析了漂泊信天翁的长期数据集,以估计特定年龄和性别的早期生命阶段存活和补充情况。我们使用气候和渔业协变量研究了可能驱动这些种群统计学特征的环境因素,并检验了密度依赖性。4. 我们的研究首次提供了一种信天翁物种在海上头两年的年存活率估计值(0·801 ± 0·014)。年龄和性别都影响了这种长寿海鸟物种的早期生命阶段存活和补充过程。尽管幼鸟对环境变化的敏感性随年龄降低,但早期生命阶段的存活和补充在各年份间高度可变。早期生命阶段存活与海面温度呈负相关,补充率与南方环状模和海面温度均呈正相关。我们发现了幼鸟密度依赖性死亡率的有力证据。在研究期间,种群大小解释了该参数41%的变异。5. 这些结果表明,在一种两性异形的长寿物种中,早期生命阶段的存活和补充强烈依赖于年龄和性别。此外,早期生命阶段种群统计学参数受出生时的环境条件以及未成熟阶段所面临的环境条件影响。最后,我们的结果首次证明了海鸟幼鸟存活存在密度依赖性,这对我们理解海鸟种群动态具有重要意义。

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