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胎盘早剥发生率的国际对比:年龄-时期-队列分析

An international contrast of rates of placental abruption: an age-period-cohort analysis.

作者信息

Ananth Cande V, Keyes Katherine M, Hamilton Ava, Gissler Mika, Wu Chunsen, Liu Shiliang, Luque-Fernandez Miguel Angel, Skjærven Rolv, Williams Michelle A, Tikkanen Minna, Cnattingius Sven

机构信息

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.

Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2015 May 27;10(5):e0125246. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125246. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Although rare, placental abruption is implicated in disproportionately high rates of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Understanding geographic and temporal variations may provide insights into possible amenable factors of abruption. We examined abruption frequencies by maternal age, delivery year, and maternal birth cohorts over three decades across seven countries.

METHODS

Women that delivered in the US (n = 863,879; 1979-10), Canada (4 provinces, n = 5,407,463; 1982-11), Sweden (n = 3,266,742; 1978-10), Denmark (n = 1,773,895; 1978-08), Norway (n = 1,780,271, 1978-09), Finland (n = 1,411,867; 1987-10), and Spain (n = 6,151,508; 1999-12) were analyzed. Abruption diagnosis was based on ICD coding. Rates were modeled using Poisson regression within the framework of an age-period-cohort analysis, and multi-level models to examine the contribution of smoking in four countries.

RESULTS

Abruption rates varied across the seven countries (3-10 per 1000), Maternal age showed a consistent J-shaped pattern with increased rates at the extremes of the age distribution. In comparison to births in 2000, births after 2000 in European countries had lower abruption rates; in the US there was an increase in rate up to 2000 and a plateau thereafter. No birth cohort effects were evident. Changes in smoking prevalence partially explained the period effect in the US (P = 0.01) and Sweden (P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a strong maternal age effect on abruption. While the abruption rate has plateaued since 2000 in the US, all other countries show declining rates. These findings suggest considerable variation in abruption frequencies across countries; differences in the distribution of risk factors, especially smoking, may help guide policy to reduce abruption rates.

摘要

背景

虽然胎盘早剥很少见,但它与过高的围产期发病率和死亡率相关。了解其地理和时间变化可能有助于洞察胎盘早剥的潜在影响因素。我们研究了七个国家在三十年期间按产妇年龄、分娩年份和产妇出生队列划分的胎盘早剥发生率。

方法

分析了在美国(n = 863,879;1979 - 2010年)、加拿大(4个省份,n = 5,407,463;1982 - 2011年)、瑞典(n = 3,266,742;1978 - 2010年)、丹麦(n = 1,773,895;1978 - 2008年)、挪威(n = 1,780,271;1978 - 2009年)、芬兰(n = 1,411,867;1987 - 2010年)和西班牙(n = 6,151,508;1999 - 2012年)分娩的妇女。胎盘早剥的诊断基于国际疾病分类编码。在年龄 - 时期 - 队列分析框架内使用泊松回归对发生率进行建模,并使用多层次模型研究四个国家中吸烟的影响。

结果

七个国家的胎盘早剥发生率各不相同(每1000例中有3 - 10例)。产妇年龄呈现一致的J形模式,在年龄分布的两端发生率较高。与2000年的分娩相比,欧洲国家2000年以后的分娩胎盘早剥发生率较低;在美国,到2000年发生率上升,此后趋于平稳。未发现明显的出生队列效应。吸烟率的变化部分解释了美国(P = 0.01)和瑞典(P < 0.01)的时期效应。

结论

产妇年龄对胎盘早剥有显著影响。虽然美国自2000年以来胎盘早剥发生率趋于平稳,但所有其他国家的发生率都在下降。这些发现表明各国胎盘早剥发生率存在很大差异;风险因素分布的差异,尤其是吸烟,可能有助于指导制定降低胎盘早剥发生率的政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20ea/4446321/ceef198af880/pone.0125246.g001.jpg

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