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心电图筛查QT间期延长以降低精神科患者心源性猝死:一项成本效益分析。

Electrocardiographic Screening for Prolonged QT Interval to Reduce Sudden Cardiac Death in Psychiatric Patients: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

作者信息

Poncet Antoine, Gencer Baris, Blondon Marc, Gex-Fabry Marianne, Combescure Christophe, Shah Dipen, Schwartz Peter J, Besson Marie, Girardin François R

机构信息

Department of Health and Community Medicine, University Hospitals and University of Geneva, rue Gabrielle-Perret-Gentil 4, 1205, Geneva, Switzerland.

Cardiology Division, University Hospitals and University of Geneva, rue Gabrielle-Perret-Gentil 4, 1205, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2015 Jun 12;10(6):e0127213. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0127213. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

Sudden cardiac death is a leading cause of mortality in psychiatric patients. Long QT (LQT) is common in this population and predisposes to Torsades-de-Pointes (TdP) and subsequent mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the cost-effectiveness of electrocardiographic screening to detect LQT in psychiatric inpatients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We built a decision analytic model based on a decision tree to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and utility of LQT screening from a health care perspective. LQT proportion parameters were derived from an in-hospital cross-sectional study. We performed experts' elicitation to estimate the risk of TdP, given extent of QT prolongation. A TdP reduction of 65% after LQT detection was based on positive drug dechallenge rate and through adequate treatment and electrolyte adjustments. The base-case model uncertainty was assessed with one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Finally, the TdP related mortality and TdP avoidance parameters were varied in a two-way sensitivity analysis to assess their effect on the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Costs, Quality Ajusted Life Year (QALY), ICER, and probability of cost effectiveness thresholds ($ 10,000, $25,000, and $50,000 per QALY).

RESULTS

In the base-case scenario, the numbers of patients needed to screen were 1128 and 2817 to avoid one TdP and one death, respectively. The ICER of systematic ECG screening was $8644 (95%CI, 3144-82 498) per QALY. The probability of cost-effectiveness was 96% at a willingness-to-pay of $50,000 for one QALY. In sensitivity analyses, results were sensitive to the case-fatality of TdP episodes and to the TdP reduction following the diagnosis of LQT.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE

In psychiatric hospitals, performing systematic ECG screening at admission help reduce the number of sudden cardiac deaths in a cost-effective fashion.

摘要

重要性

心源性猝死是精神科患者死亡的主要原因。长QT间期(LQT)在该人群中很常见,易引发尖端扭转型室速(TdP)及随后的死亡。

目的

评估心电图筛查在精神科住院患者中检测LQT的成本效益。

设计、设置和参与者:我们基于决策树构建了一个决策分析模型,从医疗保健角度评估LQT筛查的成本效益和效用。LQT比例参数来自一项院内横断面研究。我们进行了专家咨询,以估计给定QT延长程度时TdP的风险。LQT检测后TdP降低65%基于阳性药物撤药率以及通过适当治疗和电解质调整。通过单向和概率敏感性分析评估基础模型的不确定性。最后,在双向敏感性分析中改变TdP相关死亡率和TdP避免参数,以评估它们对增量成本效益比(ICER)的影响。

主要结局和指标

成本、质量调整生命年(QALY)、ICER以及成本效益阈值(每QALY 10,000美元、25,000美元和50,000美元)的概率。

结果

在基础病例情景中,分别需要筛查1128例和2817例患者以避免一例TdP和一例死亡。系统心电图筛查的ICER为每QALY 8644美元(95%CI,3144 - 82498)。在每QALY支付意愿为50,000美元时,成本效益概率为96%。在敏感性分析中,结果对TdP发作的病死率以及LQT诊断后的TdP降低敏感。

结论及相关性

在精神病医院,入院时进行系统心电图筛查有助于以具有成本效益的方式减少心源性猝死的数量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2815/4466505/9411e153c381/pone.0127213.g001.jpg

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