Jelinski Murray D, LeBlanc Stephen, Kennedy Richard
Department of Large Animal Clinical Sciences, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan S7N 5B4 (Jelinski); Department of Population Medicine, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1 (LeBlanc); Box 787, Queen Charlotte, British Columbia V0T 1S0 (Kennedy).
Can Vet J. 2015 Jul;56(7):701-8.
A retrospective study of the demographics of the Canadian dairy industry was conducted using data derived from Statistics Canada's Census of Agriculture from 1991 to 2011. This longitudinal study shows that Canada's dairy industry has undergone considerable consolidation. From 1991 to 2011, the number of dairy producers and dairy farms decreased by 48.9% and 61.9%, respectively. Furthermore, this trend in consolidation is likely to continue; nearly half (45.8%) of all dairy producers in Canada were ≥ 50 y of age in 2011. Not only will most of these producers be retired by 2021, but younger producers will also exit the industry for other reasons. These findings mirror what is occurring in Canada's cow-calf industry, underscoring that supply-managed sectors experience demographic consolidation similar to non-supply managed sectors. These substantial changes will have ramifications for the veterinary profession. There will be fewer but larger farms, and the services and knowledge demanded of veterinarians will change accordingly, which has implications for food animal veterinary education.
利用加拿大统计局1991年至2011年农业普查数据,对加拿大乳制品行业的人口统计学特征进行了一项回顾性研究。这项纵向研究表明,加拿大的乳制品行业经历了相当程度的整合。从1991年到2011年,乳制品生产商和奶牛场的数量分别减少了48.9%和61.9%。此外,这种整合趋势可能会持续下去;2011年,加拿大近一半(45.8%)的乳制品生产商年龄在50岁及以上。到2021年,这些生产商中的大多数不仅将退休,而且年轻的生产商也会因其他原因退出该行业。这些发现反映了加拿大奶牛养殖行业正在发生的情况,强调了供应管理部门与非供应管理部门一样,也经历了人口结构的整合。这些重大变化将对兽医行业产生影响。农场数量将减少但规模会扩大,对兽医的服务和知识需求也将相应改变,这对食用动物兽医教育具有启示意义。