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智利不断发展的奶牛养殖系统:结构转变与适应策略

Evolving Dairy Cattle Systems in Chile: Structural Shifts and Adaptation Strategies.

作者信息

Toro-Mujica Paula, Vera-Infanzón Raúl

机构信息

Instituto de Ciencias Agroalimentarias, Animales y Ambientales, Universidad de O'Higgins, San Fernando 3070000, Chile.

Independent Researcher, 2 Norte 443, Viña del Mar 2520274, Chile.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2024 Aug 1;14(15):2245. doi: 10.3390/ani14152245.

Abstract

This study examines the structural and geographical changes in Chile's dairy cattle systems from 1997 to 2021, using data from agricultural censuses. It focuses on variables like animal stocks, herd sizes, pasture utilization, and stocking rates, analyzed through descriptive statistics, multivariable analysis, and geographical mapping. The findings show a significant decrease in dairy farms (-69%) and dairy cattle stocks (-25.4%), with regional disparities: southern farms increased in importance while central farms declined. There is a trend towards intensification, with higher stocking rates and larger herd sizes. Grassland utilization shifted, with a decrease in natural pastures and an increase in improved and sown pastures. The study identifies four typological groups based on stocking rates, dimensions, and pasture use, reflecting distinct evolutionary paths influenced by climate change, land use, economic dynamics, and technology. Geographical analyses highlight regional variations. This research provides insights into the dynamics of Chile's dairy farming sector and its sustainability challenges and opportunities amidst changing environmental and socioeconomic conditions.

摘要

本研究利用农业普查数据,考察了1997年至2021年智利奶牛养殖系统的结构和地理变化。研究重点关注牲畜存栏、畜群规模、牧场利用和载畜率等变量,并通过描述性统计、多变量分析和地理绘图进行分析。研究结果显示,奶牛场数量显著减少(-69%),奶牛存栏量显著下降(-25.4%),且存在地区差异:南部农场的重要性增加,而中部农场则有所下降。养殖有集约化趋势,载畜率更高,畜群规模更大。草地利用发生了变化,天然牧场减少,改良牧场和人工播种牧场增加。该研究根据载畜率、规模和牧场利用情况确定了四个类型组,反映了受气候变化、土地利用、经济动态和技术影响的不同演变路径。地理分析突出了区域差异。本研究为智利奶牛养殖部门的动态变化及其在不断变化的环境和社会经济条件下的可持续性挑战与机遇提供了见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/86dc/11311103/2b4e51e62b11/animals-14-02245-g005.jpg

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