Zhang Yaohua, Mamun Sha A, Ivan John N, Ravishanker Nalini, Haque Khademul
University of Connecticut, Department of Statistics, Storrs, CT, United States.
University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States.
Accid Anal Prev. 2015 Oct;83:26-36. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2015.06.010. Epub 2015 Jul 8.
This paper describes the estimation of pedestrian crash count and vehicle interaction severity prediction models for a sample of signalized intersections in Connecticut with either concurrent or exclusive pedestrian phasing. With concurrent phasing, pedestrians cross at the same time as motor vehicle traffic in the same direction receives a green phase, while with exclusive phasing, pedestrians cross during their own phase when all motor vehicle traffic on all approaches is stopped. Pedestrians crossing at each intersection were observed and classified according to the severity of interactions with motor vehicles. Observation intersections were selected to represent both types of signal phasing while controlling for other physical characteristics. In the nonlinear mixed models for interaction severity, pedestrians crossing on the walk signal at an exclusive signal experienced lower interaction severity compared to those crossing on the green light with concurrent phasing; however, pedestrians crossing on a green light where an exclusive phase was available experienced higher interaction severity. Intersections with concurrent phasing have fewer total pedestrian crashes than those with exclusive phasing but more crashes at higher severity levels. It is recommended that exclusive pedestrian phasing only be used at locations where pedestrians are more likely to comply.
本文描述了针对康涅狄格州具有同步或专用行人相位的信号交叉口样本的行人碰撞计数估计和车辆交互严重程度预测模型。在同步相位中,行人与同向机动车交通同时获得绿灯相位时过马路;而在专用相位中,当所有进口道上的机动车交通都停止时,行人在自己的相位内过马路。观察每个交叉口的行人,并根据与机动车交互的严重程度进行分类。选择观察交叉口以代表两种信号相位类型,同时控制其他物理特征。在交互严重程度的非线性混合模型中,在专用信号的步行信号上过马路的行人与在同步相位的绿灯上过马路的行人相比,交互严重程度较低;然而,在有专用相位的绿灯上过马路的行人交互严重程度较高。同步相位的交叉口总行人碰撞事故比专用相位的交叉口少,但在较高严重程度水平上的碰撞事故更多。建议仅在行人更有可能遵守规定的地点使用专用行人相位。