Brown Win, Ahmed Saifuddin, Roche Neil, Sonneveldt Emily, Darmstadt Gary L
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA.
Johns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
Semin Perinatol. 2015 Aug;39(5):338-44. doi: 10.1053/j.semperi.2015.06.006. Epub 2015 Jul 10.
Several studies show that maternal and neonatal/infant mortality risks increase with younger and older maternal age (<18 and >34 years), high parity (birth order >3), and short birth intervals (<24 months). Family planning programs are widely viewed as having contributed to substantial maternal and neonatal mortality decline through contraceptive use--both by reducing unwanted births and by reducing the burden of these high-risk births. However, beyond averting births, the empirical evidence for the role of family planning in reducing high-risk births at population level is limited. We examined data from 205 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), conducted between 1985 and 2013, to describe the trends in high-risk births and their association with the pace of progress in modern contraceptive prevalence rate (yearly increase in rate of MCPR) in 57 developing countries. Using Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition technique, we then examine the contributions of family planning program, economic development (GDP per capita), and educational improvement (secondary school completion rate) on the progress of MCPR in order to link the net contribution of family planning program to the reduction of high-risk births mediated through contraceptive use. Countries that had the fastest progress in improving MCPR experienced the greatest declines in high-risk births due to short birth intervals (<24 months), high parity births (birth order >3), and older maternal age (>35 years). Births among younger women <18 years, however, did not decline significantly during this period. The decomposition analysis suggests that 63% of the increase in MCPR was due to family planning program efforts, 21% due to economic development, and 17% due to social advancement through women's education. Improvement in MCPR, predominately due to family planning programs, is a major driver of the decline in the burden of high-risk births due to high parity, shorter birth intervals, and older maternal age in developing countries. The lack of progress in the decline of births in younger women <18 years of age underscores the need for more attention to ensure that quality contraceptive methods are available to adolescent women in order to delay first births. This study substantiates the significance of family planning programming as a major health intervention for preventing high-risk births and associated maternal and child mortality, but it highlights the need for concerted efforts to strengthen service provision for adolescents.
多项研究表明,孕产妇年龄过小(<18岁)或过大(>34岁)、多胎妊娠(生育次序>3)以及生育间隔过短(<24个月)会增加孕产妇和新生儿/婴儿的死亡风险。计划生育项目被广泛认为通过使用避孕药具对大幅降低孕产妇和新生儿死亡率做出了贡献——既减少了意外生育,又减轻了这些高风险生育带来的负担。然而,除了避免生育之外,计划生育在降低人口层面高风险生育方面作用的实证证据有限。我们研究了1985年至2013年间开展的205项人口与健康调查(DHS)的数据,以描述高风险生育的趋势及其与57个发展中国家现代避孕普及率(MCPR)进展速度(MCPR年增长率)的关联。然后,我们使用布林德-奥克分解技术,研究计划生育项目、经济发展(人均国内生产总值)和教育改善(中学毕业率)对MCPR进展的贡献,以便将计划生育项目通过避孕使用对减少高风险生育的净贡献联系起来。MCPR改善进展最快的国家,因生育间隔过短(<24个月)、多胎生育(生育次序>3)和孕产妇年龄过大(>35岁)导致的高风险生育下降幅度最大。然而,在此期间,18岁以下年轻女性的生育情况并未显著下降。分解分析表明,MCPR增长的63%归因于计划生育项目的努力,21%归因于经济发展,17%归因于通过女性教育实现的社会进步。MCPR的改善主要归功于计划生育项目,是发展中国家因多胎妊娠、生育间隔缩短和孕产妇年龄过大导致的高风险生育负担下降的主要推动因素。18岁以下年轻女性生育下降缺乏进展,凸显了需要更多关注以确保向青春期女性提供优质避孕方法,从而推迟首次生育。这项研究证实了计划生育规划作为预防高风险生育及相关孕产妇和儿童死亡的一项主要卫生干预措施的重要性,但它也强调了需要共同努力加强对青少年的服务提供。