Amieva-Balmori Mercedes, Mejia-Loza Scherezada María Isabel, Ramos-González Roberto, Zamarripa-Dorsey Felipe, García-Ruiz Eli, Pérez Y López Nuria, Juárez-Valdés Eumir I, López-Luria Adriana, Remes-Troche José María
Mercedes Amieva-Balmori, Scherezada María Isabel Mejia-Loza, Roberto Ramos-González, Felipe Zamarripa-Dorsey, Eli García-Ruiz, Nuria Pérez y López, Eumir I Juárez-Valdés, Adriana López-Luria, Servicio de Gastroenterología, Instituto de Investigaciones Médico-Biológicas de la Universidad Veracruzana, Hospital Juárez de México, Ciudad de México 07760, México.
World J Hepatol. 2015 Aug 18;7(17):2119-26. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v7.i17.2119.
AIM: To compare the ability of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na and Maddrey discrimination function index (DFI) to predict mortality at 30 and 90 d in patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH). METHODS: We prospectively assessed 52 patients with AH. Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters were obtained. MELD-Na and Maddrey DFI were calculated on admission. Short-term mortality was assessed at 30 and 90 d. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed. RESULTS: Thirty-day and 90-d mortality was 44% and 58%, respectively. In the univariate analysis, sodium levels was associated with mortality at 30 and 90 d (P = 0.001 and P = 0.03). Child stage, encephalopathy, ascites, or types of treatment were not associated with mortality. MELD-Na was the only predictive factor for mortality at 90 d. For 30-d mortality area under the curve (AUC) was 0.763 (95%CI: 0.63-0.89) for Maddrey DFI and 0.784 for MELD-Na (95%CI: 0.65-0.91, P = 0.82). For 90-d mortality AUC was 0.685 (95%CI: 0.54-0.83) for Maddrey DFI and 0.8710 for MELD-Na (95%CI: 0.76-0.97, P = 0.041). CONCLUSION: AH is associated with high short-term mortality. Our results show that MELD-Na is a more valuable model than DFI to predict short-term mortality.
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