Research Institute of Child Development and Education, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Research Institute of Child Development and Education, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Clin Psychol Rev. 2015 Dec;42:47-61. doi: 10.1016/j.cpr.2015.08.002. Epub 2015 Aug 8.
Multiple risk domains have been identified for life-course persistent (LCP) offending, but a quantitative review of the effect of different risk domains was not yet available. Therefore, we performed a series of multilevel meta-analyses to examine the effect of several risk domains for LCP offending relative to adolescence-limited (AL) offending. We included 55 studies reporting on 1014 effects of risk factors, and classified each factor into one of 14 risk domains. The results revealed a significant effect for 11 domains ranging from d=0.200 to d=0.758. Relatively large effects were found for the criminal history, aggressive behavior, and alcohol/drug abuse domains, whereas relatively small effects were found for the family, neurocognitive, and attitude domains. The physical health, background, and neighborhood domains yielded no effect. Moderator analyses showed that effects of sibling-related risk factors were larger than effects of mother-related risk factors, and that the effect of the relationship domain was largest during childhood. We conclude that most risk domains contribute to the development of LCP offending and that differences between AL and LCP offenders may be quantitative rather than qualitative. Implications of the present results for risk assessment and the prevention/treatment of LCP offending are discussed.
已经确定了多个与终生持续犯罪(LCP)相关的风险领域,但尚未对不同风险领域的影响进行定量综述。因此,我们进行了一系列多层次的荟萃分析,以检查相对于青春期限定(AL)犯罪,多个风险领域对 LCP 犯罪的影响。我们纳入了 55 项研究,这些研究报告了 1014 个风险因素的影响,并将每个因素归入 14 个风险领域之一。结果表明,11 个领域的影响具有统计学意义,效应值范围从 d=0.200 到 d=0.758。犯罪史、攻击行为和酒精/药物滥用领域的影响较大,而家庭、神经认知和态度领域的影响较小。身体健康、背景和邻里领域则没有影响。调节分析表明,兄弟姐妹相关风险因素的影响大于母亲相关风险因素的影响,而关系领域的影响在儿童时期最大。我们得出结论,大多数风险领域都有助于 LCP 犯罪的发展,并且 AL 和 LCP 犯罪者之间的差异可能是数量上的而不是质的。讨论了当前结果对 LCP 犯罪风险评估和预防/治疗的影响。