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肝细胞癌决策树的安全性验证

Safety validation of decision trees for hepatocellular carcinoma.

作者信息

Wang Xian-Qiang, Liu Zhe, Lv Wen-Ping, Luo Ying, Yang Guang-Yun, Li Chong-Hui, Meng Xiang-Fei, Liu Yang, Xu Ke-Sen, Dong Jia-Hong

机构信息

Xian-Qiang Wang, Ke-Sen Xu, Jia-Hong Dong, Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, Shandong Province, China.

出版信息

World J Gastroenterol. 2015 Aug 21;21(31):9394-402. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i31.9394.

Abstract

AIM

To evaluate a different decision tree for safe liver resection and verify its efficiency.

METHODS

A total of 2457 patients underwent hepatic resection between January 2004 and December 2010 at the Chinese PLA General Hospital, and 634 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients were eligible for the final analyses. Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) was identified by the association of prothrombin time < 50% and serum bilirubin > 50 μmol/L (the "50-50" criteria), which were assessed at day 5 postoperatively or later. The Swiss-Clavien decision tree, Tokyo University-Makuuchi decision tree, and Chinese consensus decision tree were adopted to divide patients into two groups based on those decision trees in sequence, and the PHLF rates were recorded.

RESULTS

The overall mortality and PHLF rate were 0.16% and 3.0%. A total of 19 patients experienced PHLF. The numbers of patients to whom the Swiss-Clavien, Tokyo University-Makuuchi, and Chinese consensus decision trees were applied were 581, 573, and 622, and the PHLF rates were 2.75%, 2.62%, and 2.73%, respectively. Significantly more cases satisfied the Chinese consensus decision tree than the Swiss-Clavien decision tree and Tokyo University-Makuuchi decision tree (P < 0.01,P < 0.01); nevertheless, the latter two shared no difference (P = 0.147). The PHLF rate exhibited no significant difference with respect to the three decision trees.

CONCLUSION

The Chinese consensus decision tree expands the indications for hepatic resection for HCC patients and does not increase the PHLF rate compared to the Swiss-Clavien and Tokyo University-Makuuchi decision trees. It would be a safe and effective algorithm for hepatectomy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

摘要

目的

评估一种用于安全肝切除的不同决策树并验证其有效性。

方法

2004年1月至2010年12月期间,共有2457例患者在中国人民解放军总医院接受了肝切除手术,其中634例肝细胞癌(HCC)患者符合最终分析条件。肝切除术后肝衰竭(PHLF)通过凝血酶原时间<50%和血清胆红素>50μmol/L的联合指标(“50-50”标准)来确定,这些指标在术后第5天或之后进行评估。依次采用瑞士-克莱文决策树、东京大学-幕内决策树和中国专家共识决策树根据这些决策树将患者分为两组,并记录PHLF发生率。

结果

总体死亡率和PHLF发生率分别为0.16%和3.0%。共有19例患者发生PHLF。应用瑞士-克莱文、东京大学-幕内和中国专家共识决策树的患者数量分别为581例、573例和622例,PHLF发生率分别为2.75%、2.62%和2.73%。满足中国专家共识决策树的病例显著多于瑞士-克莱文决策树和东京大学-幕内决策树(P<0.01,P<0.01);然而,后两者之间没有差异(P = 0.147)。三种决策树的PHLF发生率没有显著差异。

结论

与瑞士-克莱文和东京大学-幕内决策树相比,中国专家共识决策树扩大了HCC患者肝切除的适应证,且未增加PHLF发生率。它将是一种用于肝细胞癌患者肝切除的安全有效的算法。

相似文献

1
Safety validation of decision trees for hepatocellular carcinoma.肝细胞癌决策树的安全性验证
World J Gastroenterol. 2015 Aug 21;21(31):9394-402. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i31.9394.

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