Fullerton Heather J, Stratton Kayla, Mueller Sabine, Leisenring Wendy W, Armstrong Greg T, Weathers Rita E, Stovall Marilyn, Sklar Charles A, Goldsby Robert E, Robison Les L, Krull Kevin R
From the Departments of Neurology (H.J.F., S.M.), Pediatrics (H.J.F., S.M., R.E.G.), and Neurosurgery (S.M.), University of California, San Francisco; the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (K.S., W.W.L.), Clinical Statistics and Cancer Prevention Programs, Seattle, WA; St. Jude Children's Research Hospital (G.T.A., L.L.R., K.R.K.), Memphis, TN; the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center (R.E.W., M.S.), Houston; and Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (C.A.S.), New York, NY.
Neurology. 2015 Sep 22;85(12):1056-64. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000001951. Epub 2015 Aug 26.
To estimate the rates and predictors of recurrent stroke among survivors of pediatric cancer who have had a first stroke.
The Childhood Cancer Survivor Study is a retrospective cohort study with longitudinal follow-up that enrolled 14,358 survivors (<21 years old at diagnosis; diagnosed 1970-1986; survived ≥5 years after cancer diagnosis) and followed them prospectively since 1994. We surveyed 443 survivors who reported a first stroke to identify recurrent stroke, and estimated recurrent stroke rates ≥5 years after cancer diagnosis.
Among 329 respondents (74% response rate), 271 confirmed a first stroke at a median age of 19 years (range 0-53), and 70 reported a second stroke at a median age of 32 years (range 1-56). In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, independent predictors of recurrent stroke included cranial radiation therapy (CRT) dose of ≥50 Gy (vs none, hazard ratio [HR] 4.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-13.7), hypertension (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.0-3.5), and older age at first stroke (HR 6.4; 95% CI 1.8-23; for age ≥40 vs age 0-17 years). The 10-year cumulative incidence of late recurrent stroke was 21% (95% CI 16%-27%) overall, and 33% (95% CI 21%-44%) for those treated with ≥50 Gy of CRT.
Survivors of childhood cancer, particularly those previously treated with high-dose cranial radiation, have a high risk of recurrent stroke for decades after a first stroke. Although these strokes are mostly occurring in young adulthood, hypertension, an established atherosclerotic risk factor, independently predicts recurrent stroke in this population.
评估首次发生卒中的儿童癌症幸存者中复发性卒中的发生率及预测因素。
儿童癌症幸存者研究是一项回顾性队列研究,进行纵向随访,纳入了14358名幸存者(诊断时年龄<21岁;1970 - 1986年诊断;癌症诊断后存活≥5年),并自1994年起对他们进行前瞻性随访。我们对443名报告首次发生卒中的幸存者进行调查以确定复发性卒中,并估计癌症诊断后≥5年的复发性卒中发生率。
在329名受访者中(应答率74%),271人确认首次发生卒中的中位年龄为19岁(范围0 - 53岁),70人报告第二次发生卒中的中位年龄为32岁(范围1 - 56岁)。在多变量Cox比例风险模型中,复发性卒中的独立预测因素包括颅部放射治疗(CRT)剂量≥50 Gy(与未接受放疗相比,风险比[HR] 4.4;95%置信区间[CI] 1.4 - 13.7)、高血压(HR 1.9;95% CI 1.0 - 3.5)以及首次卒中时年龄较大(HR 6.4;95% CI 1.8 - 23;年龄≥40岁与0 - 17岁相比)。晚期复发性卒中的10年累积发生率总体为21%(95% CI 16% - 27%),接受≥50 Gy CRT治疗的患者为33%(95% CI 21% - 44%)。
儿童癌症幸存者,尤其是那些先前接受过高剂量颅部放疗的幸存者,在首次卒中后的数十年中有很高的复发性卒中风险。尽管这些卒中大多发生在青年期,但高血压作为一种既定的动脉粥样硬化风险因素,可独立预测该人群的复发性卒中。