Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Epidemiology Coordinating and Research Centre (EPICORE), University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Am J Med. 2016 Jan;129(1):89-95. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2015.08.018. Epub 2015 Sep 5.
Early readmissions to hospital after discharge are common, and clinicians cannot accurately predict their occurrence. We examined whether patients who feel unready at the time of discharge have increased readmissions or death within 30 days.
This was a prospective cohort study of adult patients discharged home from 2 tertiary care hospitals in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, between October 2013 and November 2014. Patient-reported discharge readiness was measured with an 11-point Likert response scale, with scores <7 indicating subjective unreadiness. The primary outcome was readmission or death within 30 days. Logistic regression models were adjusted for age, sex, and a validated risk prediction score for postdischarge events (LACE index).
Of 495 patients (mean age 62 years, 51% female, mean Charlson comorbidity index 2.8), 112 (23%) reported being unready for discharge. Risk factors for being unready at discharge were cognitive impairment (mild vs none), low satisfaction with health care services, depression, lower education, previous hospital admissions (12 months), and persistent symptoms or disability. At 30 days, 85 patients (17%) had been readmitted or died, with no significant difference between patients who felt unready or ready (15% vs 18%, adjusted odds ratio 0.84, 95% confidence interval 0.46-1.54, P = .59).
Although nearly one-quarter of hospitalized medical patients reported being unready at the time of discharge, they did not experience any higher risk of readmission or death in the first 30 days after discharge, compared with patients who felt ready for discharge.
出院后早期再次住院很常见,临床医生无法准确预测其发生。我们研究了在出院时感到未准备好的患者在 30 天内是否有更高的再入院或死亡风险。
这是一项前瞻性队列研究,纳入了 2013 年 10 月至 2014 年 11 月期间从加拿大艾伯塔省埃德蒙顿的 2 家三级保健医院出院的成年患者。患者报告的出院准备情况采用 11 点 Likert 反应量表进行测量,得分<7 表示主观上未准备好出院。主要结局是 30 天内再入院或死亡。使用逻辑回归模型对年龄、性别和用于预测出院后事件的验证风险评分(LACE 指数)进行了调整。
在 495 名患者中(平均年龄 62 岁,51%为女性,平均 Charlson 合并症指数为 2.8),112 名(23%)患者报告自己未准备好出院。出院时未准备好的风险因素包括认知障碍(轻度与无)、对医疗服务的满意度低、抑郁、受教育程度低、过去 12 个月内有住院史以及持续存在症状或残疾。在 30 天时,有 85 名(17%)患者再次入院或死亡,未准备好出院的患者与准备好出院的患者之间没有显著差异(15%比 18%,调整后的优势比为 0.84,95%置信区间为 0.46-1.54,P=0.59)。
尽管近四分之一的住院内科患者在出院时报告自己未准备好出院,但与感觉准备好出院的患者相比,他们在出院后 30 天内再入院或死亡的风险并没有增加。