Peet Evan D, McCoy Dana C, Danaei Goodarz, Ezzati Majid, Fawzi Wafaie, Jarvelin Marjo-Riitta, Pillas Demetris, Fink Günther
Department of Global Health and Population, T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America; RAND Corporation, 4570 Fifth Ave #600, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Graduate School of Education, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2015 Sep 9;10(9):e0137219. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0137219. eCollection 2015.
While recent literature has highlighted the importance of early childhood development for later life outcomes, comparatively little is known regarding the relative importance of early physical and cognitive development in predicting educational attainment cross-culturally.
We used prospective data from three birth cohorts: the Northern Finland Birth Cohort of 1986 (NFBC1986), the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS1970), and the Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey of 1983 (CLHNS) to assess the association of height-for-age z-score (HAZ) and cognitive development measured prior to age 8 with schooling attainment. Multivariate linear regression models were used to estimate baseline and adjusted associations.
Both physical and cognitive development were highly predictive of adult educational attainment conditional on parental characteristics. The largest positive associations between physical development and schooling were found in the CLHNS (β = 0.53, 95%-CI: [0.32, 0.74]) with substantially smaller associations in the BCS1970 (β = 0.10, 95% CI [0.04, 0.16]) and the NFBC1986 (β = 0.06, 95% CI [-0.05, 0.16]). Strong associations between cognitive development and educational attainment were found for all three cohorts (NFBC1986: β = 0.22, 95%-CI: [0.12, 0.31], BCS1970: β = 0.58, 95%-CI: [0.52, 0.64], CLHNS: β = 1.08, 95%-CI: [0.88, 1.27]). Models jointly estimating educational associations of physical and cognitive development demonstrated weaker associations for physical development and minimal changes for cognitive development.
The results indicate that although physical and cognitive early development are both important predictors of educational attainment, cognitive development appears to play a particularly important role. The large degree of heterogeneity in the observed effect sizes suggest that the importance of early life physical growth and cognitive development is highly dependent on socioeconomic and institutional contexts.
尽管近期文献强调了幼儿期发展对后期生活结果的重要性,但关于早期身体和认知发展在跨文化预测教育成就方面的相对重要性,我们了解得相对较少。
我们使用了来自三个出生队列的前瞻性数据:1986年芬兰北部出生队列(NFBC1986)、1970年英国队列研究(BCS1970)以及1983年宿务纵向健康与营养调查(CLHNS),以评估8岁前测量的年龄别身高z评分(HAZ)和认知发展与学业成就之间的关联。使用多元线性回归模型来估计基线和调整后的关联。
在考虑父母特征的情况下,身体和认知发展都对成人教育成就具有高度预测性。身体发展与学业之间最大的正相关出现在CLHNS中(β = 0.53,95%置信区间:[0.32, 0.74]),在BCS1970中相关性要小得多(β = 0.10,95%置信区间[0.04, 0.16]),在NFBC1986中(β = 0.06,95%置信区间[-0.05, 0.16])。在所有三个队列中都发现了认知发展与教育成就之间的强关联(NFBC1986:β = 0.22,95%置信区间:[0.12, 0.31],BCS1970:β = 0.58,95%置信区间:[0.52, 0.64],CLHNS:β = 1.08,95%置信区间:[0.88, 1.27])。联合估计身体和认知发展对教育的关联的模型显示,身体发展的关联较弱,而认知发展的关联变化极小。
结果表明,尽管早期身体和认知发展都是教育成就的重要预测因素,但认知发展似乎起着特别重要的作用。观察到的效应大小存在很大程度的异质性,这表明生命早期身体生长和认知发展的重要性高度依赖于社会经济和制度背景。