Vosti Stephen A, Kagin Justin, Engle-Stone Reina, Brown Kennth H
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Davis, Davis, CA, USA
Kagin's Consulting, Vacaville, CA, USA.
Food Nutr Bull. 2015 Sep;36(3 Suppl):S193-207. doi: 10.1177/0379572115595889.
Vitamin A (VA) intervention programs in developing countries do not generally consider spatial differences in needs or in intervention costs. New data from Cameroon reveal nonuniform spatial distributions of VA deficiency among young children and of costs of some of the programs designed to address them.
We develop a spatially explicit, intertemporal economic optimization tool that makes use of subnational dietary intake data and VA intervention program costs to identify more efficient sets of interventions to improve VA nutrition among young children aged 6 to 59 months in Cameroon.
The model suggests substantial changes in the composition and geographic foci of VA intervention programs vis-à-vis a business-as-usual scenario. National VA-fortified edible oil and bouillon cube programs are cost-effective, even when start-up costs are considered. High-dosage VA supplementation delivered via Child Health Days is most cost-effective in the North macro-region, where needs are greatest and the cost per child effectively covered is lowest. Overall, the VA intervention programs suggested by the optimization model are approximately 44% less expensive, with no change in the total number of children effectively covered nationwide.
The VA intervention programs should consider spatial and temporal differences in needs and in the expected benefits and costs of alternative VA interventions. Doing so will require spatially disaggregated strategies and the data and political will to support them, longer planning time horizons than are currently used in most developing countries, and long-term funding commitments.
发展中国家的维生素A(VA)干预项目通常不考虑需求或干预成本的空间差异。来自喀麦隆的新数据揭示了幼儿中VA缺乏的空间分布不均以及一些旨在解决该问题的项目的成本差异。
我们开发了一种空间明确的跨期经济优化工具,利用国家以下层面的饮食摄入数据和VA干预项目成本,以确定更有效的干预措施组合,改善喀麦隆6至59个月幼儿的VA营养状况。
该模型表明,与照常开展业务的情景相比,VA干预项目的组成和地理重点有重大变化。即使考虑启动成本,全国性的VA强化食用油和汤块项目仍具有成本效益。通过儿童健康日提供高剂量VA补充剂在北部宏观区域最具成本效益,该地区需求最大且有效覆盖每个儿童的成本最低。总体而言,优化模型建议的VA干预项目成本大约低44%,而全国有效覆盖儿童的总数没有变化。
VA干预项目应考虑需求以及替代VA干预措施的预期效益和成本方面的空间和时间差异。这样做将需要空间上细分的策略以及支持这些策略的数据和政治意愿、比大多数发展中国家目前使用的更长的规划时间范围以及长期资金承诺。