Yang Fan, Yang Qing
School of Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Huaxia College, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Technol Health Care. 2015;23 Suppl 1:S71-5. doi: 10.3233/thc-150932.
First, a replicated dynamic equation for the spread of an SIS epidemic was proposed using the game theory. It was concluded that evolutionary stable strategies of an epidemic are (Z, C). Based on the method of multi-agent simulation by swarm 2.2, an evolutionary game model was developed to simulate the spread of an epidemic among individuals. It analyzed detailed information of the evolution and the game relationship between individuals in a micro perspective. The final simulation results were consistent with the conclusion of the replicated dynamic equation.
首先，运用博弈论提出了一个用于SIS传染病传播的复制动态方程。得出传染病的进化稳定策略为(Z, C)。基于群体2.2的多智能体模拟方法，构建了一个进化博弈模型来模拟传染病在个体间的传播。它从微观角度分析了个体间进化的详细信息以及博弈关系。最终的模拟结果与复制动态方程的结论一致。
