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非常规天然气开发与人类健康:来自美国的思考。

Unconventional natural gas development and human health: thoughts from the United States.

机构信息

Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY

Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY.

出版信息

Med J Aust. 2015 Oct 5;203(7):294-6. doi: 10.5694/mja15.00231.

Abstract

If unconventional gas development (UGD) continues to expand in Australia, the potential health and environmental impacts should be adequately addressed and preventive public health measures should be implemented. The United States has embraced UGD and has decades of experience that could be beneficial to Australia as stakeholders debate the potential benefits and harms of the technique. Additional research on the health impacts of UGD is necessary. Baseline and trend morbidity and mortality data need to be collected to assess changes in population health over time. To date, few health or epidemiological studies have been conducted, so it remains difficult to assess actual health outcomes. In the absence of scientific consensus, there are two possible risks: failing to develop unconventional natural gas when the harms are manageable; or developing it when the harms are substantial. Many government bodies around the world have chosen to minimise the risk of the latter until the impacts of UGD are better understood. Policies should be informed by empirical evidence based on actual experience rather than assurance of best practices. There is a strong rationale for precautionary measures based on the health and environmental risks identified in the scientific literature.

摘要

如果非常规天然气开发(UGD)继续在澳大利亚扩张,应该充分解决潜在的健康和环境影响,并应实施预防性公共卫生措施。美国已经接受了 UGD,并拥有数十年的经验,这对利益相关者正在辩论该技术的潜在利弊的澳大利亚来说可能是有益的。需要进一步研究 UGD 对健康的影响。需要收集基线和趋势发病率和死亡率数据,以评估人口健康随时间的变化。迄今为止,很少有健康或流行病学研究进行,因此仍然难以评估实际的健康结果。在没有科学共识的情况下,存在两种可能的风险:在可管理的危害情况下未能开发非常规天然气;或者在危害很大的情况下进行开发。世界上许多政府机构都选择将后者的风险降到最低,直到更好地了解 UGD 的影响。政策应该以基于实际经验的经验证据为依据,而不是基于最佳实践的保证。根据科学文献中确定的健康和环境风险,采取预防措施是有充分理由的。

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