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非常规天然气开发的环境健康影响:当前证据强度的综述。

Environmental health impacts of unconventional natural gas development: a review of the current strength of evidence.

机构信息

Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland, Australia.

Sustainable Minerals Institute, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Queensland, Australia.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2015 Feb 1;505:1127-41. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.10.084. Epub 2014 Nov 12.

Abstract

Rapid global expansion of unconventional natural gas development (UNGD) raises environmental health concerns. Many studies present information on these concerns, yet the strength of epidemiological evidence remains tenuous. This paper is a review of the strength of evidence in scientific reporting of environmental hazards from UNGD activities associated with adverse human health outcomes. Studies were drawn from peer-reviewed and grey literature following a systematic search. Five databases were searched for studies published from January 1995 through March 2014 using key search terms relevant to environmental health. Studies were screened, ranked and then reviewed according to the strength of the evidence presented on adverse environmental health outcomes associated with UNGD. The initial searches yielded >1000 studies, but this was reduced to 109 relevant studies after the ranking process. Only seven studies were considered highly relevant based on strength of evidence. Articles spanned several relevant topics, but most focussed on impacts on typical environmental media, such as water and air, with much of the health impacts inferred rather than evidenced. Additionally, the majority of studies focussed on short-term, rather than long-term, health impacts, which is expected considering the timeframe of UNGD; therefore, very few studies examined health outcomes with longer latencies such as cancer or developmental outcomes. Current scientific evidence for UNGD that demonstrates associations between adverse health outcomes directly with environmental health hazards resulting from UNGD activities generally lacks methodological rigour. Importantly, however, there is also no evidence to rule out such health impacts. While the current evidence in the scientific research reporting leaves questions unanswered about the actual environmental health impacts, public health concerns remain intense. This is a clear gap in the scientific knowledge that requires urgent attention.

摘要

非常规天然气开发(UNGD)在全球范围内的迅速扩张引发了环境健康问题。许多研究都提供了有关这些问题的信息,但流行病学证据的强度仍然很薄弱。本文回顾了与 UNGD 活动相关的环境危害对人类健康造成不良影响的科学报告中证据的强度。研究是通过系统搜索从同行评议和灰色文献中提取的。使用与环境健康相关的关键搜索词,从 1995 年 1 月至 2014 年 3 月在五个数据库中搜索研究。根据与 UNGD 相关的不良环境健康结果提出的证据强度对研究进行筛选、排名和审查。最初的搜索产生了超过 1000 项研究,但在排名过程中减少到 109 项相关研究。只有 7 项研究被认为具有很强的相关性,依据是其证据的强度。文章涵盖了几个相关主题,但大多数集中在对典型环境介质(如水和空气)的影响上,而许多健康影响是推断出来的,而不是有证据证明的。此外,大多数研究都集中在短期而非长期健康影响上,这是考虑到 UNGD 的时间框架;因此,很少有研究检查癌症或发育结果等潜伏期较长的健康结果。目前关于 UNGD 的科学证据表明,不良健康结果与 UNGD 活动造成的环境健康危害之间存在关联,但这些证据在方法学上通常缺乏严谨性。然而,也没有证据可以排除这些健康影响。虽然目前科学研究报告中的证据仍然存在关于实际环境健康影响的问题,但公众对健康的担忧仍然很强烈。这是科学知识中的一个明显空白,需要引起关注。

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