Elvik Rune
Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalleen 21, NO-0349 Oslo, Norway; Department of Civil Engineering, Aalborg University, Sofiendalsvej 11, DK-9210 Aalborg SV, Denmark.
Accid Anal Prev. 2015 Dec;85:170-6. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2015.09.012. Epub 2015 Oct 2.
Based on recent studies, this paper examines whether an increased use of electronic stability control can replace studded tyres. A re-analysis of a study that evaluated the effects on accidents of changes in the use of studded tyres in major cities in Norway is presented. It is found that if all cars have electronic stability control, the use of studded tyres can be reduced to about 15 percent before any increase in the number of accidents occurs. Even if studded tyres were eliminated entirely, any increase in the number of accidents is likely to be considerably smaller than it would have been if electronic stability control had never been invented.
基于近期的研究，本文探讨了电子稳定控制系统使用的增加是否能够取代防滑轮胎。文中呈现了对一项研究的重新分析，该研究评估了挪威主要城市防滑轮胎使用变化对事故的影响。研究发现，如果所有汽车都配备电子稳定控制系统，在事故数量增加之前，防滑轮胎的使用可减少至约15%。即便完全取消防滑轮胎的使用，事故数量的增加可能也会远小于如果电子稳定控制系统从未被发明的情况。
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