Jones David Albert, Paton David
From the Anscombe Bioethics Centre, Oxford, UK, and the Nottingham University Business School, Nottingham, UK.
South Med J. 2015 Oct;108(10):599-604. doi: 10.14423/SMJ.0000000000000349.
Several US states have legalized or decriminalized physician-assisted suicide (PAS) while others are considering permitting PAS. Although it has been suggested that legalization could lead to a reduction in total suicides and to a delay in those suicides that do occur, to date no research has tested whether these effects can be identified in practice. The aim of this study was to fill this gap by examining the association between the legalization of PAS and state-level suicide rates in the United States between 1990 and 2013.
We used regression analysis to test the change in rates of nonassisted suicides and total suicides (including assisted suicides) before and after the legalization of PAS.
Controlling for various socioeconomic factors, unobservable state and year effects, and state-specific linear trends, we found that legalizing PAS was associated with a 6.3% (95% confidence interval 2.70%-9.9%) increase in total suicides (including assisted suicides). This effect was larger in the individuals older than 65 years (14.5%, CI 6.4%-22.7%). Introduction of PAS was neither associated with a reduction in nonassisted suicide rates nor with an increase in the mean age of nonassisted suicide.
Legalizing PAS has been associated with an increased rate of total suicides relative to other states and no decrease in nonassisted suicides. This suggests either that PAS does not inhibit (nor acts as an alternative to) nonassisted suicide, or that it acts in this way in some individuals but is associated with an increased inclination to suicide in other individuals.
美国几个州已将医生协助自杀合法化或非刑罪化,而其他州也在考虑允许医生协助自杀。尽管有人认为合法化可能会导致自杀总数减少,并推迟实际发生的自杀行为,但迄今为止,尚无研究检验这些影响在实践中是否能够得到证实。本研究的目的是通过考察1990年至2013年间美国医生协助自杀合法化与州一级自杀率之间的关联来填补这一空白。
我们使用回归分析来检验医生协助自杀合法化前后非协助自杀率和总自杀率(包括协助自杀)的变化。
在控制各种社会经济因素、不可观测的州和年份效应以及州特定线性趋势后,我们发现医生协助自杀合法化与总自杀率(包括协助自杀)上升6.3%(95%置信区间2.70%-9.9%)相关。这种效应在65岁以上人群中更大(14.5%,置信区间6.4%-22.7%)。引入医生协助自杀既未与非协助自杀率降低相关,也未与非协助自杀的平均年龄增加相关。
与其他州相比,医生协助自杀合法化与总自杀率上升相关,且非协助自杀率并未下降。这表明要么医生协助自杀并未抑制(也不是非协助自杀的替代方式)非协助自杀,要么它在某些人身上有此作用,但在另一些人身上却与自杀倾向增加有关。