Bosque-Prous Marina, Espelt Albert, Sordo Luis, Guitart Anna M, Brugal M Teresa, Bravo Maria J
Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB Sant Pau), Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain.
Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB Sant Pau), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain; Departament de Psicobiologia i Metodologia en Ciències de la Salut, Facultat de Psicologia, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Bellaterra (Cerdanyola del Vallès), Spain.
PLoS One. 2015 Oct 7;10(10):e0140017. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0140017. eCollection 2015.
To estimate the incidence of hazardous drinking in middle-aged people during an economic recession and ascertain whether individual job loss and contextual changes in unemployment influence the incidence rate in that period.
Longitudinal study based on two waves of the SHARE project (Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe). Individuals aged 50-64 years from 11 European countries, who were not hazardous drinkers at baseline (n = 7,615), were selected for this study. We estimated the cumulative incidence of hazardous drinking (≥40g and ≥20g of pure alcohol on average in men and women, respectively) between 2006 and 2012. Furthermore, in the statistical analysis, multilevel Poisson regression models with robust variance were fitted and obtained Risk Ratios (RR) and their 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CI).
Over a 6-year period, 505 subjects became hazardous drinkers, with cumulative incidence of 6.6 per 100 persons between 2006 and 2012 (95%CI:6.1-7.2). Age [RR = 1.02 (95%CI:1.00-1.04)] and becoming unemployed [RR = 1.55 (95%CI:1.08-2.23)] were independently associated with higher risk of becoming a hazardous drinker. Conversely, having poorer self-perceived health was associated with lower risk of becoming a hazardous drinker [RR = 0.75 (95%CI:0.60-0.95)]. At country-level, an increase in the unemployment rate during the study period [RR = 1.32 (95%CI:1.17-1.50)] and greater increases in the household disposable income [RR = 0.97 (95%CI:0.95-0.99)] were associated with risk of becoming a hazardous drinker.
Job loss among middle-aged individuals during the economic recession was positively associated with becoming a hazardous drinker. Changes in country-level variables were also related to this drinking pattern.
评估经济衰退期间中年人群中有害饮酒的发生率,并确定个人失业情况及所在环境中失业率的变化是否会影响该时期的发生率。
基于欧洲健康、老龄化与退休调查(SHARE项目)的两波数据进行纵向研究。选取了来自11个欧洲国家的50 - 64岁个体,这些个体在基线时并非有害饮酒者(n = 7615)。我们估计了2006年至2012年间有害饮酒(男性平均纯酒精摄入量≥40克,女性平均纯酒精摄入量≥20克)的累积发生率。此外,在统计分析中,拟合了具有稳健方差的多水平泊松回归模型,并获得风险比(RR)及其95%置信区间(95%CI)。
在6年期间,505名受试者成为有害饮酒者,2006年至2012年间的累积发生率为每100人中有6.6人(95%CI:6.1 - 7.2)。年龄[RR = 1.02(95%CI:1.00 - 1.04)]和失业[RR = 1.55(95%CI:1.08 - 2.23)]与成为有害饮酒者的较高风险独立相关。相反,自我感觉健康状况较差与成为有害饮酒者的较低风险相关[RR = 0.75(95%CI:0.60 - 0.95)]。在国家层面,研究期间失业率的上升[RR = 1.32(95%CI:1.17 - 1.50)]以及家庭可支配收入的更大增幅[RR = 0.97(95%CI:0.95 - 0.99)]与成为有害饮酒者的风险相关。
经济衰退期间中年个体的失业与成为有害饮酒者呈正相关。国家层面变量的变化也与这种饮酒模式有关。