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在调整气候因素后,痕量锂与男性自杀呈负相关。

Trace lithium is inversely associated with male suicide after adjustment of climatic factors.

机构信息

Department of Neuropsychiatry, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, Yufu, Japan; Advanced Emergency Medical Service Center, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, Japan.

Department of Neuropsychiatry, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, Yufu, Japan.

出版信息

J Affect Disord. 2016 Jan 1;189:282-6. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2015.09.070. Epub 2015 Oct 3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Previously, we showed the inverse association between lithium in drinking water and male suicide in Kyushu Island. The narrow variation in meteorological factors of Kyushu Island and a considerable amount of evidence regarding the role of the factors on suicide provoked the necessities of adjusting the association by the wide variation in sunshine, temperature, rain fall, and snow fall.

METHODS

To keep the wide variation in meteorological factors, we combined the data of Kyushu (the southernmost city is Itoman, 26°) and Hokkaido (the northernmost city is Wakkanai, 45°). Multiple regression analyses were used to predict suicide SMRs (total, male and female) by lithium levels in drinking water and meteorological factors.

RESULTS

After adjustment of meteorological factors, lithium levels were significantly and inversely associated with male suicide SMRs, but not with total or female suicide SMRs, across the 153 cities of Hokkaido and Kyushu Islands. Moreover, annual total sunshine and annual mean temperature were significantly and inversely associated with male suicide SMRs whereas annual total rainfall was significantly and directly associated with male suicide SMRs.

LIMITATIONS

The limitations of the present study include the lack of data relevant to lithium levels in food and the proportion of the population who drank tap water and their consumption habits.

CONCLUSIONS

The present findings suggest that trace lithium is inversely associated with male but not female suicide after adjustment of meteorological factors.

摘要

背景

此前,我们发现饮用水中的锂与九州岛男性自杀呈负相关。九州岛气象因素的变化范围较小,且有大量证据表明这些因素对自杀的影响,这促使我们有必要通过阳光、温度、降雨和降雪的广泛变化来调整这种关联。

方法

为了保持气象因素的广泛变化,我们将九州(最南端的城市是大分市,纬度为 26°)和北海道(最北端的城市是稚内市,纬度为 45°)的数据结合起来。我们使用多元回归分析来预测饮用水中锂水平和气象因素与自杀 SMR(总自杀率、男性自杀率和女性自杀率)之间的关系。

结果

在调整气象因素后,锂水平与男性自杀 SMR 呈显著负相关,但与总自杀率或女性自杀率无关,这在北海道和九州的 153 个城市中均有体现。此外,年总日照量和年平均温度与男性自杀 SMR 呈显著负相关,而年总降雨量与男性自杀 SMR 呈显著正相关。

局限性

本研究的局限性包括缺乏与食物中锂水平以及饮用自来水的人口比例和他们的消费习惯相关的数据。

结论

本研究结果表明,在调整气象因素后,痕量锂与男性自杀呈负相关,但与女性自杀无关。

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