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生存函数差异的半参数同时置信带

Semiparametric simultaneous confidence bands for the difference of survival functions.

作者信息

Ahmed Nubyra, Subramanian Sundarraman

机构信息

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Center for Applied Mathematics and Statistics, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, NJ, USA.

出版信息

Lifetime Data Anal. 2016 Oct;22(4):504-30. doi: 10.1007/s10985-015-9348-6. Epub 2015 Oct 14.

Abstract

In the analysis of censored survival data, simultaneous confidence bands are useful devices to help determine the efficacy of a treatment over a control. Semiparametric confidence bands are developed for the difference of two survival curves using empirical likelihood and compared with the nonparametric counterpart. Simulation studies are presented to show that the proposed semiparametric approach is superior, with the new confidence bands giving empirical coverage closer to the nominal level. Further comparisons reveal that the semiparametric confidence bands are tighter and, hence, more informative. For censoring rates between 10 and 40 %, the semiparametric confidence bands provide a relative reduction in enclosed area amounting to between 2 and 10 % over their nonparametric bands, with increased reduction attained for higher censoring rates. The methods are illustrated using an University of Massachusetts AIDS data set.

摘要

在截尾生存数据的分析中,同时置信带是有助于确定一种治疗相对于对照的疗效的有用工具。利用经验似然法为两条生存曲线的差异构建了半参数置信带,并与非参数对应方法进行了比较。仿真研究表明,所提出的半参数方法更具优势,新的置信带给出的经验覆盖率更接近名义水平。进一步比较发现,半参数置信带更窄,因此信息量更大。对于10%至40%的删失率,半参数置信带在包含区域上相对于非参数置信带提供了2%至10%的相对减少,删失率越高减少幅度越大。使用马萨诸塞大学艾滋病数据集对这些方法进行了说明。

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