Fujimoto Kenji, Miura Masaki, Otsuka Tadahiro, Kuratsu Jun-Ichi
Department of Neurosurgery, Japanese Red Cross Kumamoto Hospital, Higashiku;
Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Life Sciences, Kumamoto University School of Medicine, Chuo-ku, Kumamoto, Japan.
J Neurosurg. 2016 Jun;124(6):1640-5. doi: 10.3171/2015.4.JNS142760. Epub 2015 Oct 23.
OBJECT Rotterdam CT scoring is a CT classification system for grouping patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) based on multiple CT characteristics. This retrospective study aimed to determine the relationship between initial or preoperative Rotterdam CT scores and TBI prognosis after decompressive craniectomy (DC). METHODS The authors retrospectively reviewed the medical records of all consecutive patients who underwent DC for nonpenetrating TBI in 2 hospitals from January 2006 through December 2013. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to determine the relationship between initial or preoperative Rotterdam CT scores and mortality at 30 days or Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) scores at least 3 months after the time of injury. Unfavorable outcomes were GOS Scores 1-3 and favorable outcomes were GOS Scores 4 and 5. RESULTS A total of 48 cases involving patients who underwent DC for TBI were included in this study. Univariate analyses showed that initial Rotterdam CT scores were significantly associated with mortality and both initial and preoperative Rotterdam CT scores were significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for established predictors of TBI outcomes showed that initial Rotterdam CT scores were significantly associated with mortality (OR 4.98, 95% CI 1.40-17.78, p = 0.01) and unfavorable outcomes (OR 3.66, 95% CI 1.29-10.39, p = 0.02) and preoperative Rotterdam CT scores were significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes (OR 15.29, 95% CI 2.50-93.53, p = 0.003). ROC curve analyses showed cutoff values for the initial Rotterdam CT score of 5.5 (area under the curve [AUC] 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.90, p = 0.009, sensitivity 50.0%, and specificity 88.2%) for mortality and 4.5 (AUC 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.86, p = 0.02, sensitivity 62.5%, and specificity 75.0%) for an unfavorable outcome and a cutoff value for the preoperative Rotterdam CT score of 4.5 (AUC 0.81, 95% CI 0.69-0.94, p < 0.001, sensitivity 90.6%, and specificity 56.2%) for an unfavorable outcome. CONCLUSIONS Assessment of changes in Rotterdam CT scores over time may serve as a prognostic indicator in TBI and can help determine which patients require DC.
目的 鹿特丹CT评分是一种基于多种CT特征对创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者进行分组的CT分类系统。本回顾性研究旨在确定减压颅骨切除术(DC)前初始或术前鹿特丹CT评分与TBI预后之间的关系。
方法 作者回顾性分析了2006年1月至2013年12月期间在2家医院因非穿透性TBI接受DC的所有连续患者的病历。采用单因素和多因素逻辑回归以及受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析来确定初始或术前鹿特丹CT评分与伤后30天死亡率或至少伤后3个月的格拉斯哥预后评分(GOS)之间的关系。不良预后为GOS评分1 - 3分,良好预后为GOS评分4分和5分。
结果 本研究共纳入48例因TBI接受DC的患者。单因素分析显示,初始鹿特丹CT评分与死亡率显著相关,初始和术前鹿特丹CT评分均与不良预后显著相关。对已确定的TBI预后预测因素进行调整的多因素逻辑回归分析显示,初始鹿特丹CT评分与死亡率(比值比[OR] 4.98,95%置信区间[CI] 1.40 - 17.78,p = 0.01)和不良预后(OR 3.66,95% CI 1.29 - 10.39,p = 0.02)显著相关,术前鹿特丹CT评分与不良预后(OR 15.29,95% CI 2.50 - 93.53,p = 0.003)显著相关。ROC曲线分析显示,初始鹿特丹CT评分预测死亡率的临界值为5.5(曲线下面积[AUC] 0.74,95% CI 0.59 - 0.90,p = 0.009,敏感性50.0%,特异性88.2%),预测不良预后的临界值为4.5(AUC 0.71,95% CI 0.56 - 0.86,p = 0.02,敏感性62.5%,特异性75.0%),术前鹿特丹CT评分预测不良预后的临界值为4.5(AUC 0.81,95% CI 0.69 - 0.94,p < 0.001,敏感性9