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1990年至2009年间青少年自杀率:全球15 - 19岁年龄组分析

Adolescent Suicide Rates Between 1990 and 2009: Analysis of Age Group 15-19 Years Worldwide.

作者信息

Kõlves Kairi, De Leo Diego

机构信息

Australian Institute for Suicide Research and Prevention, Griffith University, Queensland, Australia.

Australian Institute for Suicide Research and Prevention, Griffith University, Queensland, Australia.

出版信息

J Adolesc Health. 2016 Jan;58(1):69-77. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2015.09.014. Epub 2015 Nov 7.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The aim of the current analysis is to analyze suicide rates in adolescents aged 15-19 years in decades between 1990 and 2009 worldwide.

METHODS

Suicide data were obtained from the World Health Organization Mortality Database and population data from the World Bank Data set. In total, 81 countries or territories, having data at least for 5 years in 1990-1999 and in 2000-2009, were included in the analysis. Additional analysis for regional trends with 57 countries was performed.

RESULTS

Over the decades considered, analysis showed a declining trend in the overall suicide rate for males from 10.30 to 9.51 per 100,000 (p = .076), and for females from 4.39 to 4.18 (p = .472). The average suicide rate showed a significant decline for both genders in Europe, dropping from 13.13 to 10.93 (p = .001) in males and from 3.88 to 3.34 in females (p = .038). There was a significant increase in South American countries for males, from 7.36 to 11.47 (p = .016), and a close to significant rise for females, from 5.59 to 7.98 (p = .053). Although other world regions did not show significant trends, there were several significant changes at country level.

CONCLUSIONS

Reasons behind the decrease in Western countries could potentially be related to the overall improvements in global health; the possible contribution of suicide prevention activities remains unclear. Increases in several South American countries might be related to economic recession and its impact on adolescents from diverse cultural backgrounds, and partly also to improvements in mortality registration.

摘要

目的

本次分析旨在分析1990年至2009年期间全球15至19岁青少年的自杀率。

方法

自杀数据来自世界卫生组织死亡率数据库,人口数据来自世界银行数据集。共有81个国家或地区被纳入分析,这些国家或地区在1990 - 1999年和2000 - 2009年至少有5年的数据。对57个国家的区域趋势进行了额外分析。

结果

在所考虑的几十年中,分析显示男性总体自杀率从每10万人10.30降至9.51(p = 0.076),女性从4.39降至4.18(p = 0.472)。欧洲男女的平均自杀率均显著下降,男性从13.13降至10.93(p = 0.001),女性从3.88降至3.34(p = 0.038)。南美洲国家男性自杀率显著上升,从7.36升至11.47(p = 0.016),女性接近显著上升,从5.59升至7.98(p = 0.053)。尽管世界其他地区未显示出显著趋势,但在国家层面有一些显著变化。

结论

西方国家自杀率下降背后的原因可能与全球健康状况的整体改善有关;自杀预防活动的可能贡献仍不明确。几个南美洲国家自杀率上升可能与经济衰退及其对不同文化背景青少年的影响有关,部分也与死亡率登记的改善有关。

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