Wolff Kevin T, Baglivio Michael T, Piquero Alex R
1 The City University of New York, New York City, USA.
2 G4S Youth Services, Tampa, FL, USA.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2017 Aug;61(11):1210-1242. doi: 10.1177/0306624X15613992. Epub 2015 Nov 12.
Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) have been identified as a key risk factor for a range of negative life outcomes, including delinquency. Much less is known about how exposure to negative experiences relates to continued offending among juvenile offenders. In this study, we examine the effect of ACEs on recidivism in a large sample of previously referred youth from the State of Florida who were followed for 1 year after participation in community-based treatment. Results from a series of Cox hazard models suggest that ACEs increase the risk of subsequent arrest, with a higher prevalence of ACEs leading to a shorter time to recidivism. The relationship between ACEs and recidivism held quite well in demographic-specific analyses. Implications for empirical research on the long-term effects of traumatic childhood events and juvenile justice policy are discussed.
童年不良经历（ACEs）已被确定为一系列负面生活结果的关键风险因素，包括犯罪行为。对于接触负面经历与少年犯罪者持续犯罪之间的关系，我们所知甚少。在本研究中，我们调查了童年不良经历对佛罗里达州大量曾被转介的青少年再次犯罪的影响，这些青少年在参与社区治疗后被跟踪了1年。一系列Cox风险模型的结果表明，童年不良经历会增加随后被捕的风险，童年不良经历的患病率越高，再次犯罪的时间越短。在特定人口统计学分析中，童年不良经历与再次犯罪之间的关系相当显著。本文还讨论了童年创伤事件的长期影响的实证研究及青少年司法政策的意义。
