Yang Haijun, Zhao Yingying, Liu Zhengyu, Li Qing, He Feng, Zhang Qiong
Laboratory for Climate and Ocean-Atmosphere Studies (LaCOAS) and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Qingdao Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266003, China.
Sci Rep. 2015 Nov 16;5:16661. doi: 10.1038/srep16661.
The Earth's climate has experienced dramatic changes over the past 22,000 years; however, the total meridional heat transport (MHT) of the climate system remains stable. A 22,000-year-long simulation using an ocean-atmosphere coupled model shows that the changes in atmosphere and ocean MHT are significant but tend to be out of phase in most regions, mitigating the total MHT change, which helps to maintain the stability of the Earth's overall climate. A simple conceptual model is used to understand the compensation mechanism. The simple model can reproduce qualitatively the evolution and compensation features of the MHT over the past 22,000 years. We find that the global energy conservation requires the compensation changes in the atmosphere and ocean heat transports. The degree of compensation is mainly determined by the local climate feedback between surface temperature and net radiation flux at the top of the atmosphere. This study suggests that an internal mechanism may exist in the climate system, which might have played a role in constraining the global climate change over the past 22,000 years.
在过去的22000年里,地球气候经历了巨大变化;然而,气候系统的总经向热输送(MHT)保持稳定。使用海气耦合模型进行的长达22000年的模拟表明,大气和海洋MHT的变化显著,但在大多数地区往往呈异相,从而减轻了总MHT的变化,这有助于维持地球整体气候的稳定性。使用一个简单的概念模型来理解这种补偿机制。该简单模型能够定性地再现过去22000年里MHT的演变和补偿特征。我们发现,全球能量守恒要求大气和海洋热输送发生补偿性变化。补偿程度主要由地表温度与大气顶层净辐射通量之间的局部气候反馈决定。这项研究表明,气候系统中可能存在一种内在机制,它可能在过去22000年里对全球气候变化起到了制约作用。